Borussia Dortmund vs Celtic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Celtic
Result
7:1
01/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)
Borussia Dortmund - Celtic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.800.77
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
167
Shots on Goal
132
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
724
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
43
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Fouls
158
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
570488
Completed Passes
489432
Clearances Completed
1017
Crosses Completed
92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 1)
  • 6', Schmeichel K. 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Can E. (Pen),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Maeda D. , Engels A. (A),
  • 11', 2 - 1, Adeyemi K. , Brandt J. (A),
  • 29', 3 - 1, Adeyemi K. ,
  • 32', Gross P. 🟨,
  • 40', 4 - 1, Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 42', 5 - 1, Adeyemi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Taylor G. , Valle A. ,
  • 46', Bernardo P. , Hatate R. ,
  • 48', Adeyemi K. , Duranville J. ,
  • 61', Couto Y. , Bensebaini R. ,
  • 61', Brandt J. , Beier M. ,
  • 61', Gross P. , Nmecha F. ,
  • 63', Furuhashi K. , Idah A. ,
  • 63', Kuhn N. , Yang Hyun-Jun ,
  • 66', 6 - 1, Guirassy S. , Schlotterbeck N. (A),
  • 70', Guirassy S. , Sabitzer M. ,
  • 74', Hatate R. 🟨,
  • 79', 7 - 1, Nmecha F. ,
  • 86', Johnston A. , Ralston A. ,
  • 90+3', Bensebaini R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
64.6%
Draw
19.6%
Celtic
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 19.7% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1% 21.6% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Celtic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.46)
    4.92
    (4.85)
    6.14
    (6.55)
    3.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Celtic?
  • Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 70 - 86.4%). Celtic will win (votes: 8 - 9.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 78.9%93.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Borussia D is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Celtic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Celtic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Celtic have a series of home games.
    • In this match Borussia D is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Reyna G. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Kabar A. (Broken nose) Sabitzer M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Toe Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Celtic
    28.09.2024 St. Johnstone - Celtic 0:6
    22.09.2024 Celtic - Falkirk 5:2
    18.09.2024 Celtic - Slovan Bratislava 5:1
    14.09.2024 Celtic - Hearts 2:0
    01.09.2024 Celtic - Glasgow Rangers 3:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3
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