Result
3:1
16/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premiership - Championship Group - Round 38
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (379/464) | 57% (134/235) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (379/464) | 57% (134/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 27% (19/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (109/150) | 43% (47/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 35', Johnston A. 🟨,
- 38', Steinwender M. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Shankland L. ⚽, Kingsley S. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Engels A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tounekti S. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
- 47', Altena J. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
- 51', Baningime B. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
- 53', Nygren B. 🟨,
- 58', Trusty A. 🟨,
- 62', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
- 67', Kyziridis A. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
- 68', Kabore P. ↓, Braga C. ↑,
- 68', Milne H. ↓, Chesnokov I. ↑,
- 73', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- 73', Trusty A. ↓, Osmand C. ↑,
- 77', Findlay S. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Maeda D. ⚽, Osmand C. (A),
- 90', Nygren B. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
- 90+4', Shankland L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Saracchi M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Maeda D. 🟨,
- 90+7', McGregor C. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 1, Osmand C. ⚽, McGregor C. (A),
Chances of winning
Celtic
58.4% | Draw
22.8% | Hearts
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Celtic - Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.65) |
4.1 ↓
(4.2) |
4.99 ↓
(5) |
6.3%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Celtic - Hearts?
- Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 40% – 93.4%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Hearts (4.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2.5 - Hearts (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 2.
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- In this match, Celtic is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Celtic: Araujo J.
(Thigh Injury)
Carter-Vickers C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cvancara T.
(Groin Injury)
Donovan C.
(Inactive)
Jota
(Knee Injury)
Schmeichel K.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Thigh Injury)
Halkett C.
(Inactive)
Leonard M.
(Inactive)
Magnusson T.
(Broken cheekbone)
McEntee O.
(Injury)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Celtic: Osmand C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Gordon C.
(Shoulder Injury)
- We predict that Celtic will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 45:23. (average 2.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Celtic won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Hearts?
Celtic has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Celtic?
Hearts has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celtic - Hearts were as follows:
25.01.2026
Hearts
-
Celtic
2:2
07.12.2025
Celtic
-
Hearts
1:2
26.10.2025
Hearts
-
Celtic
3:1
29.03.2025
Celtic
-
Hearts
3:0
23.11.2024
Hearts
-
Celtic
1:4
Draw
RelegationQuarter-finals| 1 | St. Mirren | Bye | |
| 3 | Partick Thistle | Bye | |
| 4 | Arbroath | Dunfermline | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | St. Mirren | Bye | |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | Dunfermline | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | St. Mirren | Partick Thistle | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Celtic - Hearts?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 2 |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1, Polsat Sport Fight |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, Celtic TV, Hearts TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
