Result
2:2
12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 29
- Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (570/642) | 76% (294/389) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (570/642) | 76% (294/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (189/236) | 62% (54/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.69 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 1, Beier M. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
- 54', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
- 63', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
- 63', Sane L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Guerreiro R. ⚽, Muller T. (A),
- 69', 2 - 1, Gnabry S. ⚽, Stanisic J. (A),
- 70', Brandt J. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
- 71', Ozcan S. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Anton W. ⚽,
- 81', Beier M. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
- 81', Sule N. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
- 81', Muller T. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bayern Munich
65.4% | Draw
18.5% | Borussia Dortmund
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Munich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.37) |
5.16 ↓
(5.31) |
6 ↓
(7.99) |
4.1%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Watch this match and German Bundesliga with fubo (for US customers) Network on : ESPN
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund?
The most likely score is 2:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
- Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayern won 2.
- Bayern is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Borussia D is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Borussia D have a series of guest games.
- In this match Bayern is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Davies A.
(Knee Injury)
Ito H.
(Foot Injury)
Musiala J.
(Muscle Injury)
Neuer M.
(Calf Injury)
Upamecano D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Azhil A.
(Thigh Injury)
Campbell C.
(Muscle Injury)
Mane F.
(Muscle Injury)
Paulina J.
(Thigh Injury)
Sabitzer M.
(Knee Injury)
Schlotterbeck N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayern: Coman K.
(Thigh Injury)
Pavlovic A.
(Illness)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayern won 15 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 56:26 (average 2.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bayern won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:8 (average 3.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Borussia Dortmund?
Bayern Munich has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Bayern Munich?
Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
30.11.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayern Munich
1:1
30.03.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
04.11.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayern Munich
0:4
01.04.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Borussia Dortmund
4:2
08.10.2022
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayern Munich
2:2
Latest results of Bayern Munich
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 95:32 | 63 | 79 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen ✔ | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 70:41 | 29 | 68 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 65:45 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 48:50 | -2 | 55 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 68:51 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Mainz | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:45 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 61:51 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | B. Monchengladbach | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 55:56 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34:49 | -15 | 43 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55:54 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 28:39 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:64 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel ✔ | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 49:77 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | Bochum ✔ | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31:67 | -36 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Angola | Z Sport 2 |
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 Armenia | Fast Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Brazil | RedeTV!, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Kosovo | SuperSport 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Daystar Pacific, Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
