Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:2
12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.50
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
2811
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
89% (570/642)76% (294/389)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.381.37
Total shots
2811
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
198
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
4419
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
58
Passes
89% (570/642)76% (294/389)
Long passes
56% (24/43)32% (19/60)
Passes in final third
80% (189/236)62% (54/87)
Crosses
30% (6/20)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.040.69
Fouls
85
Tackles
78% (7/9)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3542
Clearances Total
2128
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
19
xGOT faced
1.372.38
Goals prevented
-0.630.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Beier M. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 54', Kim Min-Jae , Guerreiro R. ,
  • 63', Goretzka L. , Pavlovic A. ,
  • 63', Sane L. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Guerreiro R. , Muller T. (A),
  • 69', 2 - 1, Gnabry S. , Stanisic J. (A),
  • 70', Brandt J. , Nmecha F. ,
  • 71', Ozcan S. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Anton W. ,
  • 81', Beier M. , Adeyemi K. ,
  • 81', Sule N. , Bensebaini R. ,
  • 81', Muller T. , Coman K. ,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich 65.4%Draw 18.5%Borussia Dortmund 16.1%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Bayern Munich 69.9%Draw 18.1%Borussia Dortmund 12%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Bayern Munich 72.2%Draw 17.5%Borussia Dortmund 11.6%

Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.47
(1.37)
5.16
(5.31)
6
(7.99)
4.1%
(4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

  • Watch this match and German Bundesliga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN
  • What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayern won 2.
    • Bayern is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Borussia D have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Bayern is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Azhil A. (Thigh Injury) Campbell C. (Muscle Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Coman K. (Thigh Injury) Pavlovic A. (Illness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayern won 15 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 56:26 (average 2.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bayern won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:8 (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 1:1
    30.03.2024 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    04.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 0:4
    01.04.2023 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 4:2
    08.10.2022 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 2:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 30226287:295872
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 301810264:352964
    3Eintracht Frankfurt30157858:421652
    4RB Leipzig301310748:381049
    5Freiburg301461043:47-448
    6Mainz30138948:361247
    7Dortmund301361157:471045
    8Werder Bremen301361148:54-645
    9B. Monchengladbach301351248:46244
    10Augsburg301110933:40-743
    11Stuttgart301181156:50641
    12Wolfsburg301091153:47639
    13Union Berlin30981330:44-1435
    14St. Pauli30861626:36-1030
    15Hoffenheim30791438:55-1730
    16Heidenheim30642032:60-2822
    17Bochum30552029:62-3320
    18Holstein Kiel30471941:71-3019

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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