Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Bayern Munich - St. Pauli
Result
3:1
29/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Bayern Munich - St. Pauli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.680.60
Ball Possession
81%19%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
93% (927/996)72% (173/239)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.680.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.28
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
4011
Accurate through passes
41
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
85
Passes
93% (927/996)72% (173/239)
Long passes
72% (39/54)26% (13/50)
Passes in final third
84% (264/316)46% (18/39)
Crosses
25% (7/28)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
3.410.24
Throw-ins
3413
Fouls
58
Tackles
63% (5/8)57% (13/23)
Duels won
4542
Clearances
1944
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.281.79
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Hountondji A. , Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 18', Hountondji A. , Sinani D. ,
  • 39', Mets K. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Guerreiro R. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Laimer K. , Olise M. ,
  • 65', Karl L. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 65', Guerreiro R. , Stanisic J. ,
  • 68', Irvine J. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 68', Ritzka L. , Oppie L. ,
  • 77', Kim Min-Jae , Goretzka L. ,
  • 83', Tah J. 🟨,
  • 83', Pavlovic A. , Jackson N. ,
  • 87', Pereira Lage M. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Diaz L. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Jackson N. ,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
87%
Draw
9.4%
St. Pauli
3.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
85.6% 10% 4.4%

Bayern Munich - St. Pauli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.11
(1.11)
10.24
(9.51)
26.67
(21.35)
3.8%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 68.6%95%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 - Bayern (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Bayern (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
  • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
  • Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • St. Pauli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
  • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
  • There will not play in St. Pauli: Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
  • Including home match between the teams, Bayern won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - St. Pauli were as follows:
29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2
09.11.2024 St. Pauli - Bayern Munich 0:1
Latest results of Bayern Munich
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Bayern Munich21173179:196054
2Dortmund22156147:202751
3Hoffenheim21133544:281642
4RB Leipzig21123640:281239
5Stuttgart21123638:281039
6Bayer Leverkusen20113639:271236
7Freiburg2186732:33-130
8Eintracht Frankfurt2177741:46-528
9Union Berlin2167826:34-825
10FC Koln21651030:34-423
11Hamburger SV2057821:29-822
12B. Monchengladbach2157925:34-922
13Augsburg21641124:39-1522
14Mainz22561125:37-1221
15Wolfsburg21541229:44-1519
16Werder Bremen21471022:39-1719
17St. Pauli21451220:35-1517
18Heidenheim21341419:47-2813

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayern Munich - St. Pauli?
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