Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund
11/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen 37%Draw 24.3%Borussia Dortmund 38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Bayer Leverkusen 46.9%Draw 24.1%Borussia Dortmund 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Bayer Leverkusen 49.1%Draw 25.2%Borussia Dortmund 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Dortmund's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.06)
    3.96
    (4)
    2.48
    (3.34)
    4.1%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 1.
    • Bayer is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Borussia D is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:46. (average 1.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    21.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1
    03.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    29.01.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 32237293:326176
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 321911268:373168
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32168863:432056
    4Freiburg321571046:49-352
    5Dortmund321561164:491551
    6RB Leipzig321311851:45650
    7Mainz321391049:40948
    8Werder Bremen321381150:56-647
    9B. Monchengladbach321361355:54145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3211101134:45-1143
    12Wolfsburg321091353:52139
    13Union Berlin329101333:47-1437
    14St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    15Hoffenheim327101544:62-1831
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel32671948:75-2725
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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