Freiburg vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Freiburg - Bayern Munich
Result
1:2
25/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Freiburg - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.350.54
Ball Possession
35%65%
Goal Attempts
77
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
23
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
915
Offsides
01
Fouls
159
Yellow Cards
52
Throw-ins
1813
Touches in the Opposition Box
1521
Passes
81% (269/333)90% (579/640)
Passes in the final third
70% (60/86)80% (106/132)
Crosses
20% (3/15)12% (2/17)
Tackles
36% (5/14)69% (11/16)
Clearances Total
2613
Interceptions
149

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Kane H. , Dier E. (A),
  • 40', Goretzka L. , Stanisic J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Rosenfelder M. , Ginter M. ,
  • 53', Kubler L. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Kim Min-Jae , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 59', Atubolu N. 🟨,
  • 63', Kane H. 🟨,
  • 63', Gnabry S. , Coman K. ,
  • 63', Sane L. , Olise M. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Ginter M. , Doan R. (A),
  • 75', Holer L. , Adamu J. ,
  • 76', Doan R. 🟨,
  • 77', Dinkci E. , Grifo V. ,
  • 77', Eggestein M. , Manzambi J. ,
  • 83', Musiala J. , Muller T. ,
  • 83', Guerreiro R. , Palhinha J. ,
  • 85', Makengo J. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 90+2', Schuster J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Grifo V. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Muller T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
8.5%
Draw
14.8%
Bayern Munich
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 17.8% 68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1% 17.1% 71.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Freiburg - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.58
    (7.04)
    6.52
    (5.37)
    1.25
    (1.4)
    3.7%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayern Munich?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 1.
    • Recent matches Freiburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Freiburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bayern is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Gulde M. (Back Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Muslija F. (Ankle Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Davies A. (Thigh Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Laimer K. (Yellow Cards) Peretz D. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Boey S. (Ankle Injury) Palhinha J. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 17:50 (average 0.9:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:20 (average 1.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 2:0
    01.03.2024 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 2:2
    08.10.2023 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 3:0
    08.04.2023 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 0:1
    04.04.2023 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 1:2
    Latest results of Freiburg
    18.01.2025 Stuttgart - Freiburg 4:0
    11.01.2025 Freiburg - Holstein Kiel 3:2
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1HeidenheimElversberg2 : 1, 2 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Freiburg - Bayern Munich?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, ZAP
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    angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
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    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, Sportklub 3
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaVision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 259, Sky Sport Max
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    kosovoKosovoSuperSport 4
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
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    montenegroMontenegroSportklub 3
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Viaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 6
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
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    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
    tanzaniaTanzaniaZBC 2 Tanzania
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
    ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
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    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
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