Freiburg vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Freiburg - Bayern Munich
Result
1:2
25/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Freiburg - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.350.54
Ball Possession
35%65%
Goal Attempts
77
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
23
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
915
Offsides
01
Fouls
159
Yellow Cards
52
Throw-ins
1813
Touches in the Opposition Box
1521
Passes
81% (269/333)90% (579/640)
Passes in the final third
70% (60/86)80% (106/132)
Crosses
20% (3/15)12% (2/17)
Tackles
36% (5/14)69% (11/16)
Clearances Total
2613
Interceptions
149

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Kane H. , Dier E. (A),
  • 40', Goretzka L. , Stanisic J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Rosenfelder M. , Ginter M. ,
  • 53', Kubler L. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Kim Min-Jae , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 59', Atubolu N. 🟨,
  • 63', Kane H. 🟨,
  • 63', Gnabry S. , Coman K. ,
  • 63', Sane L. , Olise M. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Ginter M. , Doan R. (A),
  • 75', Holer L. , Adamu J. ,
  • 76', Doan R. 🟨,
  • 77', Dinkci E. , Grifo V. ,
  • 77', Eggestein M. , Manzambi J. ,
  • 83', Musiala J. , Muller T. ,
  • 83', Guerreiro R. , Palhinha J. ,
  • 85', Makengo J. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 90+2', Schuster J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Grifo V. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Muller T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
8.5%
Draw
14.8%
Bayern Munich
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 17.8% 68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1% 17.1% 71.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Freiburg - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.58
    (7.04)
    6.52
    (5.37)
    1.25
    (1.4)
    3.7%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayern Munich?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 1.
    • Recent matches Freiburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Freiburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bayern is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Gulde M. (Back Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Muslija F. (Ankle Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Davies A. (Thigh Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Laimer K. (Yellow Cards) Peretz D. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Boey S. (Ankle Injury) Palhinha J. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 17:50 (average 0.9:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:20 (average 1.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 2:0
    01.03.2024 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 2:2
    08.10.2023 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 3:0
    08.04.2023 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 0:1
    04.04.2023 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 1:2
    Latest results of Freiburg
    18.01.2025 Stuttgart - Freiburg 4:0
    11.01.2025 Freiburg - Holstein Kiel 3:2
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 34257299:326782
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 341912372:432969
    3Eintracht Frankfurt34179868:462260
    4Dortmund341761171:512057
    5Freiburg341671149:53-455
    6Mainz3414101055:431252
    7RB Leipzig341312953:48551
    8Werder Bremen341491154:57-351
    9Stuttgart341481264:531150
    10B. Monchengladbach341361555:57-245
    11Wolfsburg3411101356:54243
    12Augsburg3411101335:51-1643
    13Union Berlin3410101435:51-1640
    14St. Pauli34881828:41-1332
    15Hoffenheim347111646:68-2232
    16Heidenheim34852137:64-2729
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 34672149:80-3125
    18Bochum ✔ 34672133:67-3425

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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