Result
0:1
09/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 1.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (256/333) | 89% (689/771) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (256/333) | 89% (689/771) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 62% (32/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (82/106) | 84% (280/332) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 2.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Upamecano D. ↑,
- 46', Goretzka L. ↓, Laimer K. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Olise M. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
- 58', Jackson N. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 66', Wimmer P. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
- 66', Eriksen C. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
- 74', Vini Souza ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
- 74', Daghim A. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 76', Musiala J. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
- 84', Ito H. ↓, Tah J. ↑,
- 90', Kumbedi S. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
- 90+1', Shiogai K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wolfsburg
19.4% | Draw
19.8% | Bayern Munich
60.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.99 ↑
(4.48) |
4.86 ↑
(4.56) |
1.58 ↓
(1.64) |
4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich?
- Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). Bayern will win (votes: 33 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 55.7% – 81.9%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Wolfsburg (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 3 - 30%). Bayern (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Bayern is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bayern is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Arnold M.
(Groin Injury)
Cleiton
(Ankle Injury)
Dardai B.
(Knee Injury)
Fischer K.
(Thigh Injury)
Rogerio
(Muscle Injury)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
Wind J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Cardozo M.
(Thigh Injury)
Davies A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Gnabry S.
(Muscle Injury)
Kiala C.
(Ankle Injury)
Mike W.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 17:66. (average 0.9:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 1.2:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Bayern Munich?
Wolfsburg has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Wolfsburg?
Bayern Munich has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
11.01.2026
Bayern Munich
-
Wolfsburg
8:1
18.01.2025
Bayern Munich
-
Wolfsburg
3:2
25.08.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Bayern Munich
2:3
12.05.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Wolfsburg
2:0
20.12.2023
Wolfsburg
-
Bayern Munich
1:2
Latest results of Wolfsburg
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5P |
 Brazil | Caze TV, SporTV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+ |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
