Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

BayArena (Leverkusen).

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.35	2.05
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Goal Attempts
17	12
Shots on Goal
3	5
Shots off Goal
5	5
Blocked Shots
9	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
14	6
Shots inside the Box
12	10
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
Free Kicks
13	24
Offsides
2	0
Fouls
24	13
Yellow Cards
4	3
Throw-ins
27	13
Touches in the Opposition Box
22	29
Passes
76% (276/365)	77% (259/336)
Passes in the final third
70% (110/158)	66% (62/94)
Crosses
21% (8/39)	21% (3/14)
Tackles
78% (18/23)	71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
19	40
Interceptions
11	15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Laimer K. 🟨,
10', Coman K. 🟨,
31', Hermoso M. 🟨,
38', Hermoso M. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Laimer K. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
47', Alonso X. 🟨,
51', Xhaka G. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
58', Coman K. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
65', Arthur ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
65', Garcia A. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
69', Olise M. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
70', Schick P. 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Davies A. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
82', Kane H. 🟨,
84', Grimaldo A. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
84', Goretzka L. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
84', Kane H. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
86', Buendia E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bayer Leverkusen
33.5%

Draw
26.2%

Bayern Munich
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.74)	3.69 ↓ (3.77)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)	3.7% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich?

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 13 - 23.6%). Bayern will win (votes: 26 - 47.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 29.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 34.1% – 60.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 2.
Recent matches Bayer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bayern is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Bayern have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Red Card) Sarco A. (Inactive) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wirtz F. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Pavlovic A. (Illness) Peretz D. (Health problems)
There are questionable in Bayer: Hofmann J. (Illness)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayer won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 26:46 (average 1.3:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:26 (average 1.7:2.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Bayern Munich?

Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayern Munich has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich were as follows:

05.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0

15.02.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:0

03.12.2024 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1

28.09.2024 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1

10.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 3:0

Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen

08.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen 0:2 ✺

05.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen 1:4 ✺

22.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺

15.02.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Bayern Munich

08.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bochum 2:3 ✺

05.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺

23.02.2025 Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt 4:0 ✺

18.02.2025 Bayern Munich - Celtic 1:1 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	5:1	4	3
2	PSG	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
3	Club Brugge KV	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
4	Sporting CP	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
5	Royale Union SG	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
6	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
10	Qarabag	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
11	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
12	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
13	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
14	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
15	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
16	Juventus	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
17	Bayer Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
18	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
19	Slavia Prague	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
20	FC Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
21	Pafos	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
22	Olympiacos Piraeus	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
23	Atl. Madrid	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	Benfica	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
29	PSV	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Ajax	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
33	Monaco	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Kairat Almaty	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
35	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
36	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN, Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ 360
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+