Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

BayArena (Leverkusen).

: Bundesliga - Round 29
Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.64
Ball Possession
75%	25%
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
92% (646/701)	69% (167/243)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.29	0.66
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
9	1
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
92% (646/701)	69% (167/243)
Long passes
66% (29/44)	40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
88% (256/291)	36% (24/66)
Crosses
18% (9/49)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.15	0.15
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
50% (5/10)	42% (8/19)
Duels won
49	51
Clearances Total
16	49
Interceptions
2	7
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.66	0.29
Goals prevented
0.66	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tella N. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
57', Garcia A. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
60', Skarke T. ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
61', Ilic A. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
74', Grimaldo A. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
74', Tapsoba E. ↓, Arthur ↑,
78', Trimmel C. ↓, Roussillon J. ↑,
78', Haberer J. ↓, Preu D. ↑,
82', Juranovic J. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
83', Preu D. 🟨,
86', Palacios E. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
90+3', Wirtz F. 🟨,
90+3', Hofmann J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bayer Leverkusen
70.3%

Draw
18.3%

Union Berlin
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

18.1%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

13.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	5.27 ↓ (5.32)	8.42 ↓ (9.53)	4.2% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 4.
Recent matches Bayer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Union Berlin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Bayer is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hermoso M. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Bayer won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:10 (average 2.2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:5 (average 3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Union Berlin?

Bayer Leverkusen has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Bayer Leverkusen?

Union Berlin has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin were as follows:

30.11.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2

06.04.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1

12.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 4:0

06.11.2022 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 5:0

Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen

05.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bochum 3:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Union Berlin

06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	33	24	7	2	95:32	63	79
2	Bayer Leverkusen ✔	33	19	11	3	70:41	29	68
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	16	9	8	65:45	20	57
4	Freiburg	33	16	7	10	48:50	-2	55
5	Dortmund	33	16	6	11	68:51	17	54
6	Mainz	33	14	9	10	53:41	12	51
7	RB Leipzig	33	13	12	8	51:45	6	51
8	Werder Bremen	33	13	9	11	50:56	-6	48
9	Stuttgart	33	13	8	12	61:51	10	47
10	B. Monchengladbach	33	13	6	14	55:56	-1	45
11	Augsburg	33	11	10	12	34:49	-15	43
12	Wolfsburg	33	10	10	13	55:54	1	40
13	Union Berlin	33	9	10	14	33:50	-17	37
14	St. Pauli	33	8	8	17	28:39	-11	32
15	Hoffenheim	33	7	11	15	46:64	-18	32
16	Heidenheim	33	8	5	20	36:60	-24	29
17	Holstein Kiel ✔	33	6	7	20	49:77	-28	25
18	Bochum ✔	33	5	7	21	31:67	-36	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 4
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	SuperSport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 4, SportKlub 7
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball