Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin
Result
0:0
12/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.64
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
92% (646/701)69% (167/243)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.290.66
Total shots
177
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2215
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
92% (646/701)69% (167/243)
Long passes
66% (29/44)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
88% (256/291)36% (24/66)
Crosses
18% (9/49)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.150.15
Fouls
1013
Tackles
50% (5/10)42% (8/19)
Duels won
4951
Clearances Total
1649
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.660.29
Goals prevented
0.660.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tella N. , Adli A. ,
  • 57', Garcia A. , Wirtz F. ,
  • 60', Skarke T. , Hollerbach B. ,
  • 61', Ilic A. , Tousart L. ,
  • 74', Grimaldo A. , Boniface V. ,
  • 74', Tapsoba E. , Arthur ,
  • 78', Trimmel C. , Roussillon J. ,
  • 78', Haberer J. , Preu D. ,
  • 82', Juranovic J. , Rothe T. ,
  • 83', Preu D. 🟨,
  • 86', Palacios E. , Hofmann J. ,
  • 90+3', Wirtz F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hofmann J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
70.3%
Draw
18.3%
Union Berlin
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.8% 18.1% 10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 13.7% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.34)
    5.27
    (5.32)
    8.42
    (9.53)
    4.2%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 20 - 83.3%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 68.4%98.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 4.
    • Recent matches Bayer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Union Berlin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Bayer is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hermoso M. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Bayer won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:10 (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:5 (average 3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    06.04.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1
    12.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 4:0
    06.11.2022 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 5:0
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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