Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin
Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.77
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
92% (756/825)72% (201/278)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.460.22
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
125
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
92% (756/825)72% (201/278)
Long passes
65% (31/48)32% (16/50)
Passes in final third
81% (146/180)58% (43/74)
Crosses
18% (2/11)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.63
Throw-ins
1016
Fouls
1113
Tackles
71% (10/14)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5641
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.221.46
Goals prevented
0.22-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Poku E. , Lucas (A),
  • 45+6', Kofane C. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Grimaldo A. , Maza I. ,
  • 46', Lucas , Arthur ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Kofane C. M. ,
  • 64', Burke O. , Skarke T. ,
  • 64', Schafer A. , Kemlein A. ,
  • 64', Jeong Woo-Yeong , Ansah I. ,
  • 66', Leite D. 🟨,
  • 68', Trimmel C. 🟨,
  • 69', Fernandez E. , Andrich R. ,
  • 71', Leite D. , Haberer J. ,
  • 71', Trimmel C. , Rothe T. ,
  • 76', Kohn D. 🟨,
  • 81', Kofane C. M. , Hofmann J. ,
  • 89', Poku E. , Belocian J. ,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
60.6%
Draw
23.2%
Union Berlin
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 21.8% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 21.2% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.56)
    4.35
    (4.36)
    6.64
    (5.5)
    0.1%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 35 - 83.3%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 5 - 11.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 72%94.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 3.
    • Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Union Berlin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (International duty) Schick P. (Muscle Injury) Tape A. (Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Tella N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:10. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 0:0
    30.11.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    06.04.2024 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1
    12.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 4:0
    06.11.2022 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 5:0
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Stuttgart64028:6212
    5Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    6FC Koln631211:9210
    7Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    8Freiburg62229:908
    9Hamburger SV62226:8-28
    10St. Pauli62138:9-17
    11Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    12Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    13Union Berlin62138:13-57
    14Augsburg620411:13-26
    15Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    16Mainz61145:10-54
    17B. Monchengladbach60335:12-73
    18Heidenheim61054:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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