Result
27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
St. Pauli
30.6% | Draw
26.4% | Bayer Leverkusen
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(3.32) |
3.61 ↓
(3.75) |
2.28 ↑
(2.09) |
2.8%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bayer will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- St. Pauli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bayer might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Bayer Leverkusen?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against St. Pauli?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
20.04.2025
St. Pauli
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
07.12.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
St. Pauli
2:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 12 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | St. Pauli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Mainz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
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