Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

BayArena (Leverkusen).

: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	0.48
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
89% (439/496)	88% (498/569)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	0.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.88	0.85
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
30	11
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	8
Passes
89% (439/496)	88% (498/569)
Long passes
63% (22/35)	50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
71% (83/117)	85% (154/181)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.10	0.70
Throw-ins
14	12
Fouls
8	11
Tackles
92% (11/12)	26% (6/23)
Duels won
41	49
Clearances
20	15
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.85	1.88
Goals prevented
-0.15	0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Tape A. ↓, Arthur ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Til G. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Kofane C. M. ⚽,
66', Obispo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Saibari I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
73', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
73', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
73', Poku E. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
80', Kofane C. M. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
80', Tillman M. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
90+2', Saibari I. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bayer Leverkusen
43.4%

Draw
32.1%

PSV Eindhoven
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

23.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

22.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.87)	3.28 ↓ (4.13)	4.64 ↑ (3.76)	-10.4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven?

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 44 - 73.3%). PSV will win (votes: 6 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 62.1% – 84.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Bayer is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
PSV has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bayer is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Bayer: Hofmann J. (Inactive) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (International duty) Schick P. (Muscle Injury) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Muscle Injury) Dest S. (Health problems) Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Muscle Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Muscle Injury) Waayers E. (Calf Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)
The teams have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against PSV Eindhoven?

Bayer Leverkusen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against Bayer Leverkusen?

PSV Eindhoven has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:

Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen

27.09.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺

18.09.2025 Copenhagen - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 ✺

Latest results of PSV Eindhoven

27.09.2025 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺

21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2 ✺

16.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise 1:3 ✺

13.09.2025 NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven 3:5 ✺

30.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Telstar 0:2 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	HBO Max
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Football, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, ON Sport