Troyes vs Bastia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Troyes - Bastia
Result
2:0
28/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
Troyes - Bastia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.67
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1311
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
55
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Free Kicks
1613
Offsides
40
Fouls
1316
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
1117
Touches in the Opposition Box
2217
Passes
88% (372/424)86% (382/444)
Passes in the final third
75% (86/115)67% (71/106)
Crosses
25% (4/16)21% (4/19)
Tackles
82% (9/11)75% (9/12)
Clearances Total
3122
Interceptions
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Said R. , Boura I. (A),
  • 32', Boura I. 🟨,
  • 36', Monfray A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cisse L. , Tramoni L. ,
  • 46', Ariss Z. , Janneh J. ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Irie C. , Said R. (A),
  • 60', Roncaglia A. 🟨,
  • 61', Guevara J. 🟨,
  • 62', Sebas J. , Ble M. ,
  • 62', Inao Oulai C. , Aiki A. ,
  • 72', Ba P. I. , Assoumou J. ,
  • 81', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
  • 82', Phliponeau A. , Kante A. ,
  • 82', Said R. , Detourbet M. ,
  • 82', Meynadier T. , Bohnert F. ,
  • 89', Diop M. , Chavalerin X. ,
  • 90+4', Kante A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Troyes
33.1%
Draw
34.2%
Bastia
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 31.3% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 31.9% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Troyes - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.78)
    2.74
    (2.95)
    2.83
    (2.61)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bastia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
    • Recent matches Troyes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bastia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Adeline M. (Injury) Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury) de Preville N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Boumaaoui M. A. (Injury) Mazikou S. (Injury) Tomi F. (Injury) Vincent C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Troyes: Akpakoun T. (Injury) El Idrissy M. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Bastia were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Bastia - Troyes 0:0
    09.03.2024 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    26.08.2023 Bastia - Troyes 3:2
    Latest results of Troyes
    21.02.2025 Paris FC - Troyes 1:0
    14.02.2025 Troyes - Lorient 0:1
    07.02.2025 Martigues - Troyes 1:2
    04.02.2025 Troyes - Brest 1:2
    01.02.2025 Troyes - Caen 3:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
    14.02.2025 Clermont - Bastia 1:1
    07.02.2025 Rodez - Bastia 0:2
    31.01.2025 Bastia - Metz 1:1
    24.01.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Troyes - Bastia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
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