Troyes vs Brest: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade de l'Aube (Troyes).

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.04
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Goal Attempts
14	12
Shots on Goal
3	6
Shots off Goal
3	1
Blocked Shots
8	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
0	5
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
Free Kicks
12	6
Offsides
8	1
Fouls
6	12
Yellow Cards
0	2
Throw-ins
17	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
22	18
Passes
80% (266/332)	88% (559/633)
Passes in the final third
67% (60/89)	76% (109/144)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	15% (3/20)
Tackles
76% (13/17)	81% (13/16)
Clearances Total
26	16
Interceptions
14	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Bourgault J. 🟨,
49', 0 - 1, Salah I. ⚽, Faivre R. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Magnetti H. (Own goal),
69', Balde M. ↓, Ajorque L. ↑,
69', Doumbia K. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
69', Fernandes E. ↓, Lees-Melou P. ↑,
72', Adeline M. ↓, de Preville N. ↑,
78', Bourgault J. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
78', Said R. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
80', Faivre R. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
85', Boura I. ↓, Gozzi P. ↑,
86', M'Changama Y. ↓, Chavalerin X. ↑,
89', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sima A. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),

Chances of winning

Troyes
32.8%

Draw
29.1%

Brest
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troyes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Troyes - Brest Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.6)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	2.45 ↑ (1.87)	6.5% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Coupe De France with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FOX Soccer Plus

What is the prediction for Troyes - Brest?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Brest will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 56% – 94%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:23 (average 1.1:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Brest?

Troyes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Troyes?

Brest has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Brest were as follows:

19.03.2023 Troyes - Brest 2:2

13.11.2022 Brest - Troyes 2:1

Latest results of Troyes

01.02.2025 Troyes - Caen 3:0 ✺

24.01.2025 Laval - Troyes 1:0 ✺

20.01.2025 Troyes - Annecy 0:1 ✺

15.01.2025 Troyes - Rennes 1:0 ✺

10.01.2025 Rodez - Troyes 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Brest

01.02.2025 Brest - Paris Saint-Germain 2:5 ✺

29.01.2025 Brest - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺

26.01.2025 Le Havre - Brest 0:1 ✺

22.01.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest 2:0 ✺

18.01.2025 Rennes - Brest 1:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/128-finals

1	Brest	Bye
3	Avranches	Paris 13 Atl.	1 : 0
4	SA Beaumont	Aubervilliers	4 : 7
5	Strasbourg	Bye
7	ES Cappelle	Abbeville	2 : 3
8	Boulogne	Dunkerque	2 : 3
9	Saint-Jean	Angouleme CFC	1 : 0
10	Orleans	Bayonne	3 : 0
11	JA Drancy	Beauvais	0 : 1
12	Saint Amand	Dieppe	0 : 3
13	Auxerre	Bye
16	Bye	Monaco
17	Montreal-la-Cluse	Chalon	0 : 3
18	ASPTT Dijon	Le Puy-en-Velay	0 : 1
19	FC 2 Rives 82	Mazeres	0 : 1
20	EBBE	Bordeaux	0 : 1
21	IC Croix	Racing CFF	3 : 2
22	Etoile Matoury	Le Geldar	1 : 2
23	Avion	Torcy	0 : 2
24	OCPAM	Reims	0 : 1
25	Etoile Bobigny	Villeneuve-la-Garenne	1 : 2
26	Ivry	Le Mans	1 : 2
27	Saint-Meziery	Perigny	1 : 2
28	Montmorillon	Beaucouze	0 : 1
29	Cannes	Annecy	1 : 2
30	Olympique de Villefontaine	Grenoble	0 : 3
31	Sarreguemines	Furiani Agliani	5 : 3
32	GSA Tomblaine	Nancy	0 : 5
33	Seignosse Capbreton	Marmande	2 : 3
34	Bassin d'Arcachon	Blagnac	4 : 1
35	Andrezieux	Hauts Lyonnais	1 : 2
36	Savigneux Montbrison	Feurs	3 : 5
37	Lorient	Bye
39	Moulien	AS Le Gosier	2 : 3
40	Oissel	Quevilly Rouen	3 : 2
41	PSG	Bye
43	Fontenay	Chamalieres	1 : 0
44	Biars-Bretenoux	Chateauroux	0 : 2
45	Paris FC	Bye
47	Mutzig	Raon L Etape	0 : 3
48	Magenta	Mulhouse	0 : 3
49	Les Bleuets	Concarneau	0 : 3
50	St. Renan	Stade Briochin	0 : 4
52	Bye	Nantes
53	Nice	Bye
55	Nord Lozere	Ecotay Moingt	4 : 5
56	Quetigny	St Etienne	1 : 3
57	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	Biesheim	2 : 3
58	Forbach	Red Star	0 : 2
60	Bye	Metz
61	Auch	Canet Roussillon	1 : 4
62	Lavaur	Rodez	1 : 3
63	Montceau	L'Etrat La Tour	2 : 1
64	Agde	Montpellier	0 : 2
65	Saint-Brice Courcelles	Bogny	1 : 2
66	Camon	Lusitanos	0 : 7
68	Bye	Lille
69	Lyon	Bye
71	Saint-Cyr Collonges	Thonon-Evian	1 : 0
72	FC Rhone	Grasse	2 : 1
73	Seyssinet	Aubagne	1 : 0
74	SS Allinges	Istres	1 : 2
75	SA Merignac	Colomiers	1 : 0
76	Trelissac	Pau FC	0 : 2
77	Stade Quimperlois	Ancienne Chateau-Gontier	0 : 9
78	St. Colomban Locmine	Guingamp	1 : 2
79	Le Cellier Mauves	Laval	0 : 6
80	Saint-Pauloise	Dominicaine	1 : 0
81	Espoir	Eveil	1 : 0
82	Challans	Pontivy	0 : 2
83	Sable	Saint-Malo	0 : 1
84	US Chateau-Malo	Bastia	0 : 6
85	Olympique Marcquois	Aire-sur-la-Lys	5 : 0
86	Longuenesse	Bondues	0 : 2
87	Touraine	Epernay	2 : 1
88	Aizenay	Troyes	0 : 3
89	Villars-l'Isle	Sarre Union	1 : 2
90	Pontarlier	Sochaux	2 : 3
91	Steenvoorde	Chambly	2 : 1
92	Loon Plage	Bethune	1 : 2
93	Lens	Bye
95	APM Metz	Fleury-Merogis	3 : 2
96	Cambrai	Feignies-Aulnoye	0 : 4
97	Yvetot	ASPTT Caen	2 : 1
98	Bayeux	Caen	3 : 2
99	Le Poinconnet	Romorantin	0 : 2
100	Blois	Clermont	2 : 1
101	Marseille	Bye
103	Mauguio Carnon	Selongey	0 : 1
104	Atlas Paillade	Bourg en Bresse	0 : 2
105	Cormontreuil	Porto Portugais	5 : 2
106	Premontre	Chantilly	0 : 3
107	Wittenheim	Freyming	2 : 3
108	Besancon	Thionville	4 : 0
109	Pen Hir	Les Sables	1 : 2
110	Plouvorn	Vitre	2 : 1
112	Bye	Rennes
113	Pledran	Plabennec	0 : 2
114	Orvault	Les Herbiers	1 : 3
116	Bye	Angers
117	Pierrelatte	Lyon - La Duchere	0 : 2
118	Carnoux F.C.	Pirae	5 : 1
120	Bye	Toulouse
121	Montreuil	Bandrele	1 : 0
122	Granville	Dinan	3 : 1
123	Gouzon Avenir	Chauvigny	1 : 5
124	Lapalisse	Stade Poitevin	1 : 2
125	Le Havre	Bye
127	Reims Ste Anne	GFC Ajaccio	2 : 1
128	Auby	Amiens	0 : 3

1/64-finals

1	Brest	Bye
2	Avranches	Aubervilliers	2 : 1
3	Strasbourg	Bye
4	Abbeville	Dunkerque	0 : 5
5	Saint-Jean	Orleans	1 : 2
6	Beauvais	Dieppe	1 : 2
7	Auxerre	Bye
8	Bye	Monaco
9	Chalon	Le Puy-en-Velay	0 : 1
10	Mazeres	Bordeaux	3 : 4
11	IC Croix	Le Geldar	2 : 1
12	Torcy	Reims	1 : 5
13	Villeneuve-la-Garenne	Le Mans	2 : 3
14	Perigny	Beaucouze	3 : 1
15	Annecy	Grenoble	1 : 2
16	Sarreguemines	Nancy	3 : 4
17	Marmande	Bassin d'Arcachon	0 : 1
18	Hauts Lyonnais	Feurs	2 : 1
19	Lorient	Bye
20	AS Le Gosier	Oissel	3 : 2
21	PSG	Bye
22	Fontenay	Chateauroux	4 : 1
23	Paris FC	Bye
24	Raon L Etape	Mulhouse	3 : 2
25	Concarneau	Stade Briochin	1 : 0
26	Bye	Nantes
27	Nice	Bye
28	Ecotay Moingt	St Etienne	1 : 11
29	Biesheim	Red Star	2 : 1
30	Bye	Metz
31	Canet Roussillon	Rodez	1 : 0
32	Montceau	Montpellier	0 : 2
33	Bogny	Lusitanos	0 : 3
34	Bye	Lille
35	Lyon	Bye
36	Saint-Cyr Collonges	FC Rhone	1 : 0
37	Seyssinet	Istres	0 : 2
38	SA Merignac	Pau FC	1 : 0
39	Ancienne Chateau-Gontier	Guingamp	0 : 4
40	Laval	Saint-Pauloise	6 : 0
41	Espoir	Pontivy	0 : 4
42	Saint-Malo	Bastia	0 : 1
43	Olympique Marcquois	Bondues	2 : 0
44	Touraine	Troyes	0 : 2
45	Sarre Union	Sochaux	0 : 6
46	Steenvoorde	Bethune	0 : 1
47	Lens	Bye
48	APM Metz	Feignies-Aulnoye	0 : 2
49	Yvetot	Bayeux	0 : 1
50	Romorantin	Blois	2 : 3
51	Marseille	Bye
52	Selongey	Bourg en Bresse	2 : 3
53	Cormontreuil	Chantilly	1 : 2
54	Freyming	Besancon	1 : 0
55	Les Sables	Plouvorn	2 : 1
56	Bye	Rennes
57	Plabennec	Les Herbiers	1 : 2
58	Bye	Angers
59	Lyon - La Duchere	Carnoux F.C.	3 : 1
60	Bye	Toulouse
61	Montreuil	Granville	2 : 1
62	Chauvigny	Stade Poitevin	4 : 3
63	Le Havre	Bye
64	Reims Ste Anne	Amiens	0 : 4

1/32-finals

1	Brest	Avranches	1 : 2
2	Strasbourg	Dunkerque	2 : 1
3	Orleans	Dieppe	3 : 0
4	Auxerre	Monaco	1 : 2
5	Le Puy-en-Velay	Bordeaux	1 : 0
6	IC Croix	Reims	0 : 4
7	Le Mans	Perigny	2 : 1
8	Grenoble	Nancy	1 : 2
9	Bassin d'Arcachon	Hauts Lyonnais	0 : 1
10	Lorient	AS Le Gosier	7 : 0
11	PSG	Fontenay	4 : 0
12	Paris FC	Raon L Etape	3 : 0
13	Concarneau	Nantes	3 : 5
14	Nice	St Etienne	2 : 1
15	Biesheim	Metz	0 : 3
16	Canet Roussillon	Montpellier	0 : 1
17	Lusitanos	Lille	0 : 1
18	Lyon	Saint-Cyr Collonges	3 : 0
19	Istres	SA Merignac	1 : 0
20	Guingamp	Laval	0 : 1
21	Pontivy	Bastia	0 : 1
22	Olympique Marcquois	Troyes	1 : 3
23	Sochaux	Bethune	4 : 2
24	Lens	Feignies-Aulnoye	3 : 1
25	Bayeux	Blois	2 : 1
26	Marseille	Bourg en Bresse	6 : 0
27	Chantilly	Freyming	3 : 0
28	Les Sables	Rennes	0 : 3
29	Les Herbiers	Angers	0 : 1
30	Lyon - La Duchere	Toulouse	1 : 2
31	Montreuil	Chauvigny	2 : 1
32	Le Havre	Amiens	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Avranches	Strasbourg	0 : 6
2	Orleans	Monaco	1 : 3
3	Le Puy-en-Velay	Reims	0 : 1
4	Le Mans	Nancy	1 : 0
5	Hauts Lyonnais	Lorient	1 : 3
6	PSG	Paris FC	0 : 1
7	Nantes	Nice	1 : 2
8	Metz	Montpellier	0 : 4
9	Lille	Lyon	1 : 2
10	Istres	Laval	0 : 2
11	Bastia	Troyes	0 : 2
12	Sochaux	Lens	0 : 3
13	Bayeux	Marseille	0 : 9
14	Chantilly	Rennes	1 : 3
15	Angers	Toulouse	1 : 2
16	Montreuil	Amiens	2 : 4

1/8-finals

1	Strasbourg	Monaco	3 : 1
2	Reims	Le Mans	3 : 0
3	Lorient	Paris FC	2 : 0
4	Nice	Montpellier	3 : 2
5	Lyon	Laval	2 : 0
6	Troyes	Lens	2 : 4
7	Marseille	Rennes	3 : 0
8	Toulouse	Amiens	1 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Strasbourg	Reims	2 : 1
2	Lorient	Nice	0 : 1
3	Lyon	Lens	2 : 3
4	Marseille	Toulouse	2 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Strasbourg	Nice
2	Lens	Toulouse

Which TV channels are streaming of Troyes - Brest?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport App
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	ZhiBo8
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	Sport 1
Mexico	TVC Deportes 2
Norway	VG+
Russia	TV Start
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus