Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Villarreal
47.2%
Draw
27.5%
Athletic Bilbao
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 28.3% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 28.8% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.23)
    3.53
    (3.42)
    3.82
    (3.43)
    3.3%
    (3.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 1.
    • Villarreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Athletic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Villarreal might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    08.12.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 2:0
    14.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 1:1
    05.11.2023 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 2:3
    13.05.2023 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 5:1
    Latest results of Villarreal
    20.09.2025 Villarreal - Osasuna 2:1
    31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1
    24.08.2025 Villarreal - Girona 5:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid550010:2815
    2Barcelona541016:31313
    3Villarreal531110:4610
    4Espanyol53118:7110
    5Elche52307:439
    6Betis62319:729
    7Ath Bilbao53026:609
    8Getafe53026:7-19
    9Sevilla52129:817
    10Alaves52125:507
    11Valencia52126:8-27
    12Atl. Madrid51316:516
    13Osasuna52034:406
    14Rayo Vallecano51225:6-15
    15Celta Vigo60515:7-25
    16Levante51139:904
    17R. Oviedo51041:8-73
    18Real Sociedad50235:9-42
    19Mallorca50235:10-52
    20Girona50142:15-131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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