Milan vs Atalanta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Milan - Atalanta
Result
0:1
20/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 33
  • Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
Milan - Atalanta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.83
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
86% (421/488)88% (467/530)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.050.47
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1223
Through passes
33% (3/9)0% (0/1)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
78
Passes
86% (421/488)88% (467/530)
Long passes
52% (22/42)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
70% (74/105)79% (127/160)
Crosses
19% (3/16)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.43
Fouls
87
Tackles
56% (9/16)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4043
Clearances Total
1818
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.470.05
Goals prevented
-0.530.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
  • 59', Cuadrado J. , Ruggeri M. ,
  • 59', Zappacosta D. , Toloi R. ,
  • 59', Djimsiti B. , Kossounou O. ,
  • 62', 0 - 1, Ederson , Bellanova R. (A),
  • 75', Jimenez A. , Joao Felix ,
  • 75', Jovic L. , Abraham T. ,
  • 75', Pulisic C. , Sottil R. ,
  • 80', Pasalic M. , De Ketelaere C. ,
  • 83', Tomori F. , Gimenez S. ,
  • 83', Leao R. , Chukwueze S. ,
  • 90+1', Retegui M. , Sulemana I. ,

Chances of winning


Milan
37.1%
Draw
26.7%
Atalanta
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 27.9% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.3% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Milan - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.52)
    3.57
    (3.44)
    2.64
    (2.83)
    4.7%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Atalanta?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal (Calf Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Surgery) Walker K. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Palestra M. (Inactive) Posch S. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury) Tornaghi P. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Milan won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:29 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Atalanta were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Atalanta - Milan 2:1
    25.02.2024 Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    10.01.2024 Milan - Atalanta 1:2
    09.12.2023 Atalanta - Milan 3:2
    26.02.2023 Milan - Atalanta 2:0
    Latest results of Milan
    11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1
    15.03.2025 Milan - Como 2:1
    Latest results of Atalanta
    13.04.2025 Atalanta - Bologna 2:0
    06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1
    30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    09.03.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 0:4
    01.03.2025 Atalanta - Venezia 0:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli ✔ 36239457:273078
    2Inter ✔ 36238575:334277
    3Atalanta ✔ 36218773:324171
    4Juventus361616453:332064
    5Lazio361810859:461364
    6AS Roma36189951:341763
    7Bologna361614654:411362
    8AC Milan361791058:401860
    9Fiorentina361781154:371759
    10Como361391448:49-148
    11Torino3610141239:42-344
    12Udinese361281639:51-1244
    13Genoa369131432:45-1340
    14Cagliari36891937:54-1733
    15Verona36962131:64-3333
    16Parma366141641:56-1532
    17Venezia365141730:50-2029
    18Lecce366102025:58-3328
    19Empoli365131829:56-2728
    20Monza ✔ 36392427:64-3718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Monza is Relegated to Serie B
    Which TV channels are streaming of Milan - Atalanta?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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