Arsenal vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Arsenal - Aston Villa
Result
2:2
18/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 22
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
Arsenal - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.04
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
178
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
101
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1810
Offsides
32
Fouls
1018
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1210
Touches in the Opposition Box
3713
Passes
88% (427/483)73% (193/264)
Passes in the final third
78% (166/212)51% (24/47)
Crosses
29% (10/35)20% (1/5)
Tackles
58% (7/12)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
839
Interceptions
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Maatsen I. 🟨,
  • 30', Arteta M. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Martinelli G. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
  • 37', Onana A. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
  • 55', 2 - 0, Havertz K. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 1, Tielemans Y. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
  • 63', Emery U. 🟨,
  • 67', Trossard L. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Watkins O. ⚽, Cash M. (A),
  • 78', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • 80', Watkins O. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
  • 82', Martinelli G. ↓, Sterling R. ↑,
  • 85', Ramsey J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
  • 90+4', Sterling R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rogers M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
59.7%		Draw
24.2%		Aston Villa
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 20.8% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 20.5% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
    •

    Arsenal - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.62 ↑
    (1.47)    		 4.01 ↓
    (4.61)    		 5.91 ↓
    (6.9)    		 3.7%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : NBC (4K)
    •
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - Aston Villa?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3.
    • Recent matches Arsenal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Arsenal is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Nwaneri E. (Muscle Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury) White B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Diego Carlos (Ankle Injury) McGinn J. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 38:19 (average 1.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:13 (average 2.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Aston Villa were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Aston Villa - Arsenal 0:2
    14.04.2024 Arsenal - Aston Villa 0:2
    09.12.2023 Aston Villa - Arsenal 1:0
    18.02.2023 Aston Villa - Arsenal 2:4
    31.08.2022 Arsenal - Aston Villa 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal
    15.01.2025 Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur 2:1 ✺
    12.01.2025 Arsenal - Manchester United 1:2 ✺
    07.01.2025 Arsenal - Newcastle United 0:2 ✺
    04.01.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    01.01.2025 Brentford - Arsenal 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    15.01.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2025 Aston Villa - West Ham United 2:1 ✺
    04.01.2025 Aston Villa - Leicester City 2:1 ✺
    30.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    26.12.2024 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 3:0 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool ✔ 37258485:404583
    2Arsenal ✔ 371914467:333471
    3Newcastle372061168:462266
    4Chelsea37199963:432066
    5Aston Villa37199958:49966
    6Manchester City36198967:432465
    7Nottingham371981058:451365
    8Brighton371513962:58458
    9Brentford371671465:56955
    10Fulham371591354:52254
    11Bournemouth3614111155:431253
    12Crystal Palace3612131146:48-249
    13Everton3710151241:44-345
    14Wolves361251951:64-1341
    15West Ham3710101743:61-1840
    16Manchester Utd371091842:54-1239
    17Tottenham371152163:61238
    18Leicester ✔ 37672433:78-4525
    19Ipswich ✔ 374102335:79-4422
    20Southampton ✔ 37262925:84-5912

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Leicester is Relegated to Championship
    Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
    Southampton is Relegated to Championship
    Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - Aston Villa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Premier League
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 1
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2, TSN Malta 8
    mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport NOW
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
    polandPolandViaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
    thailandThailandTrue Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
    usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
    vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1, ON Football, ON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia
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