Olympique Marseille vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Olympique Marseille - Ajax
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Olympique Marseille - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
60.4%
Draw
21.5%
Ajax
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 21.6% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 21.4% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Ajax aligns with the current prediction.
  • Olympique Marseille - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.58)
    4.55
    (4.44)
    5.36
    (5.34)
    2.8%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 76.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Marseille is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Ajax were as follows:
    30.11.2023 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:3
    21.09.2023 Ajax - Olympique Marseille 3:3
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Ajax
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2
    17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1
    24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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