Result
4:0
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (417/480) | 88% (455/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (417/480) | 88% (455/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (35/51) | 70% (80/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -2.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Paixao I. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
- 12', 2 - 0, Paixao I. ⚽, Vermeeren A. (A),
- 23', Regeer Y. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 26', 3 - 0, Greenwood M. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
- 34', Rosa L. 🟨,
- 36', Medina F. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nadir B. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
- 46', Berghuis S. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 52', 4 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
- 55', Wijndal O. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
- 55', Baas Y. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
- 62', Paixao I. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 62', O'Riley M. ↓, Hojbjerg P. ↑,
- 66', Itakura K. 🟨,
- 76', Gaaei A. 🟨,
- 79', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
- 82', Vermeeren A. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
- 84', Godts M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
- 85', Aguerd N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
79.2% | Draw
15.7% | Ajax
5.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-19.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olympique Marseille - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.58) |
8.08 ↑
(4.44) |
26.69 ↑
(5.34) |
-13.6%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
83 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 72 - 86.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 7.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 79.4% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marseille is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Inactive)
Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Lirola P.
(Inactive)
Traore H. J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K.
(Abdominal strain)
McConnell J.
(Health problems)
Weghorst W.
(Knock)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Bakola D.
(Inactive)
Balerdi L.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Ajax?
Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Olympique Marseille?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Ajax were as follows:
30.11.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Ajax
4:3
21.09.2023
Ajax
-
Olympique Marseille
3:3
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
UEFA Champions League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Inter | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Qarabag | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Liverpool | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Chelsea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 19 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 | Juventus | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Bodo/Glimt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Villarreal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | PSV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Monaco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 32 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 | Benfica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | Ath Bilbao | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | Ajax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Olympique Marseille - Ajax?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 5 |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Sky Sport 257 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 3 |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 8 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
