Olympique Marseille vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Olympique Marseille - Ajax
Result
4:3
30/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
Olympique Marseille - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
62.6%
Draw
20.5%
Ajax
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.8% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 22.1% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Olympique Marseille - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.65)
    4.71
    (4.16)
    5.7
    (4.9)
    4.1%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (59 of 72 users predict this - 81.94%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.05%90.83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Marseille is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gueye P. (Suspended) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Pasveer R. (Knee Injury) Sutalo J. (Health problems) Vos S. (Health problems) van den Boomen B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B. (Illness) Gorter J. (Injury) Mannsverk S. (Leg Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Ajax were as follows:
    21.09.2023 Ajax - Olympique Marseille 3:3
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Ajax
    25.11.2023 Ajax - Vitesse 5:0
    12.11.2023 Almere City - Ajax 2:2
    05.11.2023 Ajax - Heerenveen 4:1
    02.11.2023 Ajax - Volendam 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 2
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 2
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 3
    21HackenBrann0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC0 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
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