Wrexham vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Wrexham - Derby County
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Wrexham - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Wrexham
44.4%
Draw
27.9%
Derby County
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.7% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27.3% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Wrexham - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2)
    3.39
    (3.4)
    3.48
    (3.75)
    4.9%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 21).
    • Wrexham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wrexham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Wrexham
    20.09.2025 Norwich City - Wrexham 2:3
    30.08.2025 Millwall - Wrexham 0:2
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough651011:4716
    2Stoke64029:4512
    3Bristol City632113:7611
    4Leicester63218:5311
    5Preston63217:5211
    6Coventry624015:7810
    7West Brom63127:6110
    8Birmingham63125:5010
    9QPR631210:12-210
    10Swansea62226:518
    11Portsmouth62224:5-18
    12Charlton62224:5-18
    13Hull622210:12-28
    14Norwich62139:907
    15Wrexham621311:12-17
    16Millwall52124:7-37
    17Ipswich51319:546
    18Blackburn52035:506
    19Southampton61327:9-26
    20Oxford Utd61239:10-15
    21Watford51225:6-15
    22Derby61238:12-45
    23Sheffield Wed61145:12-74
    24Sheffield Utd60061:13-120

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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