Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Hamburger SV
28/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Union Berlin - Hamburger SV - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Union Berlin
45.4%
Draw
27.7%
Hamburger SV
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.2% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Union Berlin - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.04)
    3.5
    (3.5)
    3.5
    (3.63)
    4.4%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Union Berlin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440018:31512
    2RB Leipzig43016:7-19
    3Dortmund32108:357
    4FC Koln42119:727
    5St. Pauli42117:617
    6Eintracht Frankfurt32018:536
    7Freiburg42028:806
    8Stuttgart42025:506
    9Hoffenheim42028:10-26
    10Wolfsburg31207:525
    11Bayer Leverkusen31117:614
    12Mainz41125:414
    13Werder Bremen41128:10-24
    14Hamburger SV41122:8-64
    15Augsburg41037:10-33
    16Union Berlin31024:8-43
    17B. Monchengladbach30120:5-51
    18Heidenheim40042:9-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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