Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Vasco da Gama
Result
3:2
02/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 18
Mirassol - Vasco da Gama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.35
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
83% (311/376)90% (546/606)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.502.07
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1516
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
83% (311/376)90% (546/606)
Long passes
55% (22/40)61% (35/57)
Passes in final third
73% (83/113)83% (119/143)
Crosses
23% (5/22)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.251.08
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1214
Tackles
55% (11/20)50% (3/6)
Duels won
4435
Clearances
2025
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.071.50
Goals prevented
0.07-1.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Hugo Moura , Thiago Mendes ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Negueba , Lucas Ramon (A),
  • 58', 2 - 0, Chico , Gabriel (A),
  • 63', Lemos M. , Jair ,
  • 63', Moreira N. , David ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. , Lucas Piton (A),
  • 70', 2 - 2, Vegetti P. , Rodriguez J. (A),
  • 78', Edson Carioca , Alesson ,
  • 78', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 80', Coutinho , Augusto L. ,
  • 82', Felipe Jonatan , Daniel Borges ,
  • 82', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Alesson , Carlos Eduardo (A),
  • 85', Lucas Piton 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gabriel , Yago Felipe ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
49.3%
Draw
29.2%
Vasco da Gama
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 30.2% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Mirassol - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.96)
    3.25
    (3.12)
    4.37
    (4.36)
    5.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Vasco da Gama?
  • Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (50 of 58 users predict this - 86.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.34%95.08%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
    • Vasco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Luiz Otavio (Injury) PH (Injury) Reinaldo (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) GB (Muscle Injury) Leo Jardim (Red Card) Paulo Henrique (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mirassol
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    19.07.2025 Mirassol - Santos 3:0
    16.07.2025 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:1
    13.07.2025 Mirassol - Fluminense Postponed
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ17114231:72437
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1883721:22-127
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Sao Paulo1867520:20025
    9Fluminense1672718:20-223
    10Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    11Ceara1764717:17022
    12Corinthians1857617:21-422
    13Internacional1756618:22-421
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Santos1753918:22-418
    16Vitoria1839616:20-418
    17Vasco1643918:23-515
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude16321111:35-2411
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mirassol - Vasco da Gama?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaFanatiz
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