Result
1:1
30/08/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (372/424) | 80% (374/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (372/424) | 80% (374/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 51% (35/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (101/123) | 64% (79/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.84 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Eduardo ⚽, Igor Formiga (A),
- 70', Neto Moura ↓, Japa ↑,
- 70', Eduardo ↓, Cazonatti G. ↑,
- 70', Felipe Anderson ↓, Khellven ↑,
- 70', Vitor Roque ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Mauricio ⚽, Gomez G. (A),
- 76', Gustavo Silva ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 79', Alesson ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 79', Bruno Santos ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 81', (Penalty overturned),
- 85', Denilson 🟨,
- 87', Mauricio ↓, Heittor Vinicius ↑,
- 90+6', Arthur Gabriel 🟨,
- 90+8', Arthur Gabriel 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
26.3% | Draw
28.4% | Palmeiras
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Mirassol - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↓
(3.97) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
2.11 ↑
(1.9) |
5.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Palmeiras?
- Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.5% – 99.5%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 2.25 - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Palmeiras (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
- Mirassol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Palmeiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Palmeiras will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca
(Injury)
Jose Aldo
(Muscle Injury)
Negueba
(Knee Injury)
Wallisson
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Allan Elias
(Transfer negotiations)
Jefte
(Knee Injury)
Sosa R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Paulinho
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Palmeiras?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Mirassol?
Palmeiras has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Palmeiras were as follows:
15.03.2026
Palmeiras
-
Mirassol
1:0
17.01.2026
Palmeiras
-
Mirassol
1:0
09.11.2025
Mirassol
-
Palmeiras
2:1
16.07.2025
Palmeiras
-
Mirassol
1:1
23.02.2025
Mirassol
-
Palmeiras
2:3
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Mirassol - Palmeiras?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
