Aston Villa vs Club Brugge: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Aston Villa - Club Brugge
Result
3:0
12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Aston Villa - Club Brugge - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.12
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
144
Shots on Goal
101
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
31
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
17
Free Kicks
87
Offsides
10
Fouls
78
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1611
Touches in the Opposition Box
315
Passes
94% (506/540)90% (425/471)
Passes in the final third
85% (119/140)78% (61/78)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (2/9)
Tackles
46% (6/13)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
1113
Interceptions
108

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Sabbe K. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Kamara B. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
  • 46', Watkins O. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Asensio M. ⚽, Bailey L. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 0, Maatsen I. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
  • 58', Jutgla F. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,
  • 58', Jashari A. ↓, Nielsen C. ↑,
  • 58', Talbi C. ↓, Skoras M. ↑,
  • 58', Ordonez J. ↓, Romero Z. ↑,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Asensio M. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
  • 66', Mings T. ↓, Torres P. ↑,
  • 66', Rogers M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 66', Tzolis C. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
  • 70', Vanaken H. 🟨,
  • 73', Cash M. ↓, Disasi A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
56.2%		Draw
23.6%		Club Brugge
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 21.8% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.2% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Club Brugge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.71 ↑
    (1.62)    		 4.07 ↓
    (4.4)    		 4.78 ↓
    (5.04)    		 3.9%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Club Brugge?
  • Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.
    • Aston Villa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Brugge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Garcia A. (Inactive) Jimoh-Aloba J. (Inactive) Malen D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Brugge: Meijer B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Seys J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Aston Villa to win the game is with odds 1.73.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Club Brugge were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3
    06.11.2024 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:0
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺
    28.02.2025 Aston Villa - Cardiff City 2:0 ✺
    25.02.2025 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 4:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Aston Villa - Chelsea 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Club Brugge
    09.03.2025 Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge 1:3 ✺
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺
    01.03.2025 Gent - Club Brugge 1:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Club Brugge - Standard Liège 1:2 ✺
    18.02.2025 Atalanta - Club Brugge 1:3 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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