New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution
Result
5:3
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.312.22
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
88% (456/520)83% (306/368)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
3.312.22
xG on target (xGOT)
3.621.12
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
88% (456/520)83% (306/368)
Long passes
35% (11/31)43% (20/47)
Passes in final third
80% (140/176)71% (55/77)
Crosses
17% (3/18)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.591.21
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
1712
Tackles
55% (11/20)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4449
Clearances
1716
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.123.62
Goals prevented
-0.88-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Campana L. ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Duncan K. (Own goal),
  • 45+4', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 46', Miller P. , Sands W. ,
  • 54', Carmona W. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Edelman D. , Donkor R. (A),
  • 61', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 62', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 62', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 62', Edelman D. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 66', Ceballos B. , Omsberg W. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A), Donkor R. (A2)
  • 71', Sofo M. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 71', Valencia O. , Edwards R. ,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Forsberg E. , Gjengaar D. (A),
  • 73', Bye B. , Feingold I. ,
  • 73', Langoni L. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 76', Eile N. 🟨,
  • 80', Beason T. , Diaz L. ,
  • 83', 4 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Donkor R. (A),
  • 87', Hughes K. 🟨,
  • 88', 5 - 2, Forsberg E. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 5 - 3, Campana L. ,
  • 90+5', Diaz L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
51.7%
Draw
24.8%
New England Revolution
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 22% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.81)
    3.8
    (3.82)
    4.03
    (4.27)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). New England will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, NY Red Bulls has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in New England: Fofana M. (Yellow Cards) Ganago I. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury) Feingold I. (Ankle Injury) Miller P. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution were as follows:
    29.03.2025 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    08.06.2024 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 1:0
    11.05.2024 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 4:2
    30.08.2023 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 1:0
    22.07.2023 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 0:0
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC28138753:361747
    5Seattle Sounders29129851:43845
    6Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake291041531:41-1034
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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