Hearts vs Falkirk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Premier League Hearts - Falkirk
Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 6
  • Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)
Hearts - Falkirk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.67
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
78% (324/415)81% (376/467)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.700.30
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
117
Passes
78% (324/415)81% (376/467)
Long passes
56% (40/72)49% (33/68)
Passes in final third
64% (84/132)65% (67/103)
Crosses
35% (8/23)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.780.83
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
711
Tackles
76% (22/29)71% (12/17)
Duels won
7150
Clearances
3037
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.302.70
Goals prevented
0.30-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Kyziridis A. ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Shankland L. ,
  • 45+1', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Williams E. , Oliver G. ,
  • 46', Cartwright H. , Arfield S. ,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Halkett C. , Kyziridis A. (A),
  • 70', Lissah F. , Hart S. ,
  • 70', MacIver R. , Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ,
  • 73', McEntee O. , Steinwender M. ,
  • 74', Kyziridis A. , Forrest A. ,
  • 78', Miller C. , Agyeman A. ,
  • 79', Braga C. , Kabangu E. ,
  • 89', Kingsley S. , Magnusson T. ,
  • 89', Shankland L. , Kerjota S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hearts
62.2%
Draw
21.8%
Falkirk
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 23.4% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 22.8% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Hearts - Falkirk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.62)
    4.33
    (3.98)
    5.85
    (4.85)
    5%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hearts - Falkirk?
  • Users Predictions: Hearts will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hearts will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 3.
    • Hearts is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Falkirk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Falkirk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hearts has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Hearts is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Hamstring Injury) Fulton R. (Groin Injury) Kent F. (Knee Injury) Pollock F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C. (Groin Injury) Lang T. (Inactive) Sneddon J. (Inactive) Stewart B. (Injury) Yeats F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hearts: Borchgrevink C. (Thigh Injury) Gordon C. (Shoulder Injury) Kingsley S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Falkirk: Ross E. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Falkirk were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Falkirk - Hearts 2:0
    Latest results of Hearts
    13.09.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Hearts 0:2
    30.08.2025 Livingston - Hearts 1:2
    23.08.2025 Hearts - Motherwell 3:3
    16.08.2025 St. Mirren - Hearts 2:1
    10.08.2025 Dundee United - Hearts 2:3
    Latest results of Falkirk
    23.09.2025 Falkirk - Hibernian 2:2
    13.09.2025 Falkirk - St. Mirren 1:2
    31.08.2025 Aberdeen - Falkirk 0:1
    15.08.2025 Celtic - Falkirk 4:1
    09.08.2025 Livingston - Falkirk 3:1
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts761016:61019
    2Celtic752011:3817
    3Kilmarnock724111:8310
    4Dundee Utd723212:1119
    5St. Mirren72325:6-19
    6Motherwell715111:1018
    7Hibernian715110:1008
    8Rangers71516:7-18
    9Livingston813410:14-46
    10Falkirk71338:13-56
    11Dundee FC81346:13-76
    12Aberdeen71154:9-54

          Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
          Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Hearts - Falkirk?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFalkirk TV, Hearts TV
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