Motherwell vs Hearts: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
09/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Championship Group - Round 36
  • Referee: McLean S. (Sco)
Motherwell - Hearts - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.451.09
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
15
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
26
Passes
77% (298/385)75% (331/443)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.451.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.030.90
Total shots
811
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
49
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1327
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
149
Passes
77% (298/385)75% (331/443)
Long passes
38% (23/61)39% (31/80)
Passes in final third
57% (45/79)53% (70/132)
Crosses
25% (2/8)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.97
Throw ins
1718
Fouls
914
Tackles
50% (4/8)54% (13/24)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
3921
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
0.900.03
Goals prevented
-0.100.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Just E. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Kingsley S. (Own goal),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Shankland L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Leonard M. , Kyziridis A. ,
  • 47', Steinwender M. 🟨,
  • 58', Altena J. 🟨,
  • 63', Halkett C. , Kent F. ,
  • 72', Braga C. , Kabore P. ,
  • 77', Said I. , Koutroumbis J. ,
  • 79', Findlay S. 🟨,
  • 86', Maswanhise T. , Hendry C. ,
  • 86', Just E. , Charles-Cook R. ,
  • 87', Kingsley S. , McCart J. ,
  • 87', Spittal B. , Devlin C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motherwell
34.7%
Draw
27.5%
Hearts
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 27.2% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 27.5% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Motherwell - Hearts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.52)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    2.49
    (2.57)
    6.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Motherwell - Hearts?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH 0 - Hearts (1.86) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DNB - Hearts (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Hearts will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 71.79%98.59%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hearts will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Hearts (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 0.
    • Motherwell is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hearts is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Motherwell: Bjorgolfsson E. (Muscle Injury) Robinson Z. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Thigh Injury) Gordon C. (Shoulder Injury) Magnusson T. (Broken cheekbone) McEntee O. (Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hearts: Braga C. (Injury) Kingsley S. (Injury) Milne H. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Hearts were as follows:
    11.04.2026 Hearts - Motherwell 3:1
    29.11.2025 Motherwell - Hearts 0:0
    23.08.2025 Hearts - Motherwell 3:3
    10.05.2025 Hearts - Motherwell 3:0
    12.04.2025 Motherwell - Hearts 0:0
    Latest results of Motherwell
    02.05.2026 Falkirk - Motherwell 1:0
    11.04.2026 Hearts - Motherwell 3:1
    04.04.2026 Motherwell - Falkirk 2:3
    21.03.2026 Motherwell - Hibernian 0:0
    Latest results of Hearts
    04.05.2026 Hearts - Glasgow Rangers 2:1
    26.04.2026 Hibernian - Hearts 1:2
    11.04.2026 Hearts - Motherwell 3:1
    05.04.2026 Livingston - Hearts 2:2
    21.03.2026 Hearts - Dundee 1:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Quarter-finals
    1St. MirrenBye
    3Partick ThistleBye
    4ArbroathDunfermline0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1St. MirrenBye
    2Partick ThistleDunfermline2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1St. MirrenPartick Thistle
    Which TV channels are streaming of Motherwell - Hearts?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    hungaryHungaryArena 4
    irelandIrelandNOW
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    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
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    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
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    south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
    thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 5
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomHearts TV, Motherwell TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
    usaUsaParamount+
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