Falkirk vs Hibernian: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:3
09/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Championship Group - Round 36
  • Referee: Lee R. (Sco)
Falkirk - Hibernian - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.481.07
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
14
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
65
Passes
81% (399/495)56% (131/234)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.481.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.471.67
Total shots
810
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
56
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
02
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1310
Passes
81% (399/495)56% (131/234)
Long passes
52% (43/82)36% (30/84)
Passes in final third
66% (102/155)41% (33/81)
Crosses
3% (1/38)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.84
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
1013
Tackles
67% (6/9)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4243
Clearances
2437
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
1.670.47
Goals prevented
-1.33-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Campbell J. , Obita J. (A),
  • 20', 0 - 2, Campbell J. , Boyle M. (A),
  • 37', McCann L. , Henderson L. ,
  • 40', 0 - 3, Obita J. , Passlack F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Wilson K. , Parkinson B. ,
  • 60', Yeats F. , Broggio B. ,
  • 61', Campbell J. 🟨,
  • 63', Campbell J. , Newell J. ,
  • 70', Lissah F. , Ross E. ,
  • 70', Tait D. , Cartwright H. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Broggio B. , Spencer B. (A),
  • 75', Chaiwa M. , Andrews K. ,
  • 75', Boyle M. , Suto A. ,
  • 90+3', Elding O. , Cadden Ch. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Falkirk
44.8%
Draw
27.3%
Hibernian
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 26.3% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 27% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkirk's performance.
  • Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hibernian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falkirk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hibernian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Falkirk - Hibernian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.72)
    3.44
    (3.59)
    3.33
    (2.43)
    6.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Falkirk - Hibernian?
    • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Falkirk will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hibernian will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 2.
    • Falkirk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hibernian is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Falkirk: Bain S. (Inactive) Henderson L. (Inactive) Marsh L. (Thigh Injury) Williams E. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Hibernian: Garananga M. (Inactive) McGrath J. (Red Card) Molotnikov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hibernian: Elding O. (Injury) Mulligan J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - Hibernian were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Falkirk - Hibernian 4:1
    06.12.2025 Hibernian - Falkirk 3:0
    23.09.2025 Falkirk - Hibernian 2:2
    Latest results of Falkirk
    02.05.2026 Falkirk - Motherwell 1:0
    25.04.2026 Celtic - Falkirk 3:1
    12.04.2026 Falkirk - Glasgow Rangers 3:6
    04.04.2026 Motherwell - Falkirk 2:3
    Latest results of Hibernian
    03.05.2026 Hibernian - Celtic 1:2
    26.04.2026 Hibernian - Hearts 1:2
    11.04.2026 Aberdeen - Hibernian 2:0
    04.04.2026 Hibernian - Kilmarnock 3:0
    21.03.2026 Motherwell - Hibernian 0:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Quarter-finals
    1St. MirrenBye
    3Partick ThistleBye
    4ArbroathDunfermline0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1St. MirrenBye
    2Partick ThistleDunfermline2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1St. MirrenPartick Thistle
    X
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