Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats
Result
87:90
03/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 8
Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1213
Behinds
1512
Kicks
217197
Handballs
134137
Disposals
351334
Frees For
1421
Frees Against
2114
Clearances Completed
3735
Marks
10878
Tackles
6356
Hitouts
5033

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (29 - 26)
  • 01:15, Neale S. (G),
  • 06:27, Cameron D. (Behind),
  • 07:48, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:01, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 10:33, Smith B. (G),
  • 13:26, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 15:07, Hill B. (G),
  • 17:40, Membrey T. (Behind),
  • 18:50, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 20:29, Cox M. (G),
  • 22:34, Cameron D. (G),
  • 25:41, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 28:30, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 29:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 33:34, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (20 - 16)
  • 00:41, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 02:13, Houston D. (G),
  • 05:17, Elliott J. (G),
  • 07:06, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:39, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 10:19, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:15, Henry O. (G),
  • 15:03, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 18:28, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
  • 22:22, Daicos N. (G),
  • 23:39, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 21)
  • 01:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:24, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 07:13, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 08:45, Pendlebury S. (G),
  • 10:56, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 16:22, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 17:49, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 20:27, Cameron J. (G),
  • 21:53, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:25, Wiltshire O. (G),
  • 25:40, Membrey T. (G),
  • 27:21, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (17 - 27)
  • 01:46, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 05:34, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 07:31, Henry O. (G),
  • 11:06, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
  • 13:40, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 21:00, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 22:50, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 24:11, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 24:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:03, Bowes J. (G),
  • 30:45, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 32:04, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 35:31, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 37:33, Crisp J. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
65.3%
Geelong Cats
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collingwood Magpies's performance.
  • Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong Cats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong Cats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.74)

    2.64
    (2.1)
    7.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
  • What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats?
  • Users Predictions: Collingwood Magpies will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 2.
    • Collingwood is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Geelong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Collingwood could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1527:1558. (average 76.4:77.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 832:928. (average 75.6:84.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 71:91
    11.08.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 109:101
    17.03.2023 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 103:125
    03.09.2022 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 78:72
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Western Bulldogs1610061716:1288133.2340
    5Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    6Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    7Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1641111237:160177.2618
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
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