Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City
Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.51
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Long passes
42% (24/57)63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)73% (107/147)
Crosses
31% (5/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.74
Throw-ins
712
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (11/15)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.510.95
Goals prevented
0.51-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Moreno S. , Pereira da Costa D. (A), Antony (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bartlett J. , Davis J. ,
  • 67', Bravo C. 🟨,
  • 68', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 68', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 69', Leibold T. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 69', Brody A. , Shelton K. ,
  • 69', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 73', Suleymanov S. 🟨,
  • 74', Davis J. 🟨,
  • 78', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 78', Pereira da Costa D. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Munoz S. ,
  • 84', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
57.9%
Draw
21.7%
Sporting Kansas City
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 24.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 25% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.95)
    4.42
    (3.86)
    4.67
    (3.58)
    4.9%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Portland (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Portland Timbers will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
    • Portland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kansas City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Chara D. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Fory J. (Leg Injury) Jura S. (Injury) Ondo C. (Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury) Shelton K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 2:4
    25.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 2:1
    07.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 3:3
    28.05.2023 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 4:1
    27.02.2023 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 1:0
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 5
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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