Heidenheim vs Mainz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Heidenheim - Mainz
Result
0:2
16/02/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
Heidenheim - Mainz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.762.15
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
126
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
60
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
169
Offsides
32
Fouls
916
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
2725
Touches in the Opposition Box
1716
Passes
79% (368/464)73% (270/370)
Passes in the final third
59% (65/111)55% (81/146)
Crosses
12% (3/26)30% (6/20)
Tackles
83% (15/18)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
4950
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Burkardt J. , Caci A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Keller T. , Pieringer M. ,
  • 46', Beck A. , Wanner P. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Weiper N. , Burkardt J. (A),
  • 57', Fohrenbach J. , Scienza L. ,
  • 62', Pieringer M. 🟨,
  • 62', Burkardt J. , Lee Jae-Sung ,
  • 65', Kohr D. 🟨,
  • 69', Kratzig F. , Niehues J. ,
  • 71', Caci A. 🟨,
  • 72', Weiper N. , Sieb A. ,
  • 73', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 79', Kohr D. , Hanche-Olsen A. ,
  • 79', Caci A. , Widmer S. ,
  • 79', Amiri N. , Maloney L. ,
  • 80', Schoppner J. , Kerber L. ,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
28.8%
Draw
28%
Mainz
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 27% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.3% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Heidenheim - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.24)
    3.44
    (3.55)
    2.24
    (2.2)
    3.7%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 7 - 14%). Mainz will win (votes: 35 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 57.3%82.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 9).
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Heidenheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Mainz will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Dorsch N. (Knee Injury) Fohrenbach J. (Head Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bell S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Mwene P. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Mainz were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Mainz - Heidenheim 0:2
    05.05.2024 Heidenheim - Mainz 1:1
    16.12.2023 Mainz - Heidenheim 0:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    13.02.2025 Copenhagen - Heidenheim 1:2
    08.02.2025 Freiburg - Heidenheim 1:0
    25.01.2025 Augsburg - Heidenheim 2:1
    18.01.2025 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    Latest results of Mainz
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    31.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Mainz 1:0
    25.01.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:0
    19.01.2025 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1
    14.01.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Heidenheim - Mainz?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free, New World TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandVodafone Sport
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
    italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
    japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
    kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 4
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean, Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandViaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 3
    romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
    ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
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