Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Amex Stadium (Brighton).

: Premier League - Round 35
Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	1.75
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	4
Passes
78% (295/379)	83% (366/439)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	1.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	2.05
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
1	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
17	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
10	15
Passes
78% (295/379)	83% (366/439)
Long passes
31% (20/64)	56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
61% (64/105)	76% (104/136)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.60
Throw-ins
14	23
Fouls
15	10
Tackles
67% (10/15)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
48	49
Clearances
27	28
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
2.05	0.94
Goals prevented
1.05	-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Minteh Y. ⚽, Wieffer M. (A),
32', Wieffer M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Wieffer M. ↓, Lamptey T. ↑,
57', Murphy J. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
69', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
69', Adingra S. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
73', Willock J. 🟨,
74', Willock J. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Isak A. (Pen),
90+3', Welbeck D. 🟨,
90+4', Minteh Y. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
90+4', O'Riley M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
90+7', Trippier K. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
90+7', Schar F. ↓, Botman S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Brighton & Hove Albion
31.4%

Draw
25.7%

Newcastle United
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

25.9%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.72)	2.25 ↓ (2.47)	3.7% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United?

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 10 - 16.1%). Newcastle will win (votes: 33 - 53.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 30.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 40.8% – 65.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Newcastle (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.
Recent form of Brighton & Hove has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Newcastle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) Rutter G. (Ankle Injury) Steele J. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Newcastle: Hall L. (Foot Injury) Joelinton (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury) Targett M. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Webster A. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Newcastle United?

Brighton & Hove Albion has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Brighton & Hove Albion?

Newcastle United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United were as follows:

02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2

19.10.2024 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1

11.05.2024 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1

02.09.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 3:1

28.07.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 1:2

Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion

26.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United 3:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion 4:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Newcastle United

26.04.2025 Newcastle United - Ipswich Town 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Newcastle United - Crystal Palace 5:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester United 4:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Leicester City - Newcastle United 0:3 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Tubi TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 6
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab