Genoa vs Lazio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Genoa - Lazio
Result
0:3
29/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 5
  • Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
Genoa - Lazio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.06
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
86% (432/504)70% (195/280)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.281.25
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
86% (432/504)70% (195/280)
Long passes
45% (20/44)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
70% (88/125)48% (27/56)
Crosses
25% (7/28)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.07
Throw-ins
2713
Fouls
1816
Tackles
58% (7/12)31% (5/16)
Duels won
5458
Clearances
1035
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.251.28
Goals prevented
-1.751.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', Vasquez J. 🟨,
  • 4', 0 - 1, Cancellieri M. , Castellanos T. (A),
  • 17', Norton-Cuffy B. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Castellanos T. , Marusic A. (A),
  • 32', Marusic A. , Hysaj E. ,
  • 36', Cataldi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Masini P. 🟨,
  • 62', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 3, Zaccagni M. ,
  • 68', Vitinha , Carboni V. ,
  • 68', Masini P. , Stanciu N. ,
  • 69', Malinovskyi R. , Ekhator J. ,
  • 69', Colombo L. , Ekuban C. ,
  • 69', Pellegrini Lu. , Tavares N. ,
  • 84', Castellanos T. , Provstgaard O. ,
  • 84', Gila M. , Patric ,
  • 84', Cataldi D. , Pedro ,
  • 84', Martin A. , Venturino L. ,
  • 90+3', Ostigard L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Genoa
25.5%
Draw
32.5%
Lazio
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 28.9% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 28.8% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Genoa - Lazio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.19
    (3.42)
    3.13
    (3.3)
    2.37
    (2.2)
    -1.9%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Genoa - Lazio?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). Lazio will win (votes: 18 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 30.6%61.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Genoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Junior Messias (Inactive) Onana J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Lazio: Belahyane R. (Red Card) Dele-Bashiru F. (Injury) Gigot S. (Back Injury) Guendouzi M. (Red Card) Lazzari M. (Calf Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 25:45. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Lazio were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:2
    27.10.2024 Lazio - Genoa 3:0
    19.04.2024 Genoa - Lazio 0:1
    05.12.2023 Lazio - Genoa 1:0
    27.08.2023 Lazio - Genoa 0:1
    Latest results of Genoa
    25.09.2025 Genoa - Empoli 3:1
    20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1
    15.09.2025 Como - Genoa 1:1
    31.08.2025 Genoa - Juventus 0:1
    23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0
    Latest results of Lazio
    21.09.2025 Lazio - Roma 0:1
    14.09.2025 Sassuolo - Lazio 1:0
    31.08.2025 Lazio - Verona 4:0
    24.08.2025 Como - Lazio 2:0
    16.08.2025 Lazio - Atromitos Athens 2:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli650112:6615
    2AS Roma65017:2515
    3AC Milan64119:3613
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus63309:5412
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Bologna63129:5410
    8Como62317:529
    9Sassuolo63038:809
    10Cremonese62317:8-19
    11Cagliari62226:608
    12Udinese62226:9-38
    13Lazio621310:737
    14Parma61233:7-45
    15Lecce61235:10-55
    16Torino61235:13-85
    17Fiorentina60334:8-43
    18Verona60332:9-73
    19Genoa60243:9-62
    20Pisa60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Genoa - Lazio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 3
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceDAZN France
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
    kuwaitKuwaitShasha
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    surinameSurinameSCCN
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
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