Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/07/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mars Stadium (Ballarat).

: AFL - Round 18

Match Stats


Goals
15	16
Behinds
8	13
Kicks
212	233
Handballs
138	111
Disposals
350	344
Frees For
17	25
Frees Against
25	17
Clearances Completed
42	35
Marks
89	105
Tackles
50	61
Hitouts
33	43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (19 - 26)
01:58, Naughton A. (G),
06:34, Fogarty D. (G),
08:18, Curtin D. (G),
09:46, Naughton A. (G),
11:59, Naughton A. (G),
13:28, Keays B. (Behind),
16:07, Fogarty D. (G),
17:28, (Behind Rushed),
22:09, Cumming I. (G),
29:54, (Behind Rushed),
2nd Quarter (26 - 38)
00:47, Naughton A. (G),
03:36, Dawson J. (G),
04:44, Thiltorpe R. (G),
06:53, Thiltorpe R. (G),
08:55, Richards E. (G),
10:07, Richards E. (G),
13:53, Neil-Bullen A. (Behind),
17:55, Thiltorpe R. (G),
19:31, Walker T. (G),
22:02, Fogarty D. (Behind),
23:01, Hynes C. (G),
27:18, Naughton A. (Behind),
30:42, Freijah J. (Behind),
31:42, Thiltorpe R. (G),
3rd Quarter (21 - 29)
03:46, Dawson J. (G),
05:09, (Behind Rushed),
05:59, Darcy S. (Behind),
07:45, Keays B. (Behind),
09:10, Darcy S. (G),
10:45, Fogarty D. (G),
12:22, Davidson S. (G),
14:17, Naughton A. (G),
17:56, Thiltorpe R. (G),
20:03, (Behind Rushed),
23:05, Dawson J. (Behind),
24:50, Dolan J. (Behind),
27:28, Keays B. (Behind),
31:16, Curtin D. (Behind),
32:49, Rankine I. (G),
4th Quarter (32 - 16)
02:05, Sanders R. (G),
03:40, Darcy S. (Behind),
07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
10:45, Walker T. (G),
16:22, Sanders R. (Behind),
17:05, West R. (G),
18:50, Rankine I. (Behind),
19:30, Rankine I. (Behind),
20:50, Bramble L. (G),
24:37, Darcy S. (G),
26:56, Fogarty D. (Behind),
29:37, Fogarty D. (Behind),
30:57, O'Donnell J. (G),

Chances of winning

Western Bulldogs
61.2%

Adelaide Crows
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Crows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)		2.4 ↑ (2.24)	6.5% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

What is the prediction for Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 97:85.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Western might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1219:1149. (average 81.3:76.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1048:791. (average 104.8:79.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Adelaide Crows?

Western Bulldogs has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Western Bulldogs?

Adelaide Crows has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows were as follows:

11.08.2024 Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs 111:72

20.05.2023 Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows 85:40

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

03.07.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Western Bulldogs 85:134 ✺

27.06.2025 Sydney Swans - Western Bulldogs 96:105 ✺

22.06.2025 Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers 135:56 ✺

12.06.2025 St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs 60:132 ✺

05.06.2025 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 59:81 ✺

Latest results of Adelaide Crows

06.07.2025 Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons 90:77 ✺

29.06.2025 Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows 54:122 ✺

13.06.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 47:44 ✺

06.06.2025 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 68:63 ✺

31.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 41:131 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	22	17	0	5	2165:1535	141.04	68
2	Geelong Cats	22	16	0	6	2322:1650	140.73	64
3	Brisbane Lions	22	15	1	6	1972:1725	114.32	62
4	Collingwood Magpies	22	15	0	7	1909:1551	123.08	60
5	Hawthorn Hawks	22	15	0	7	1966:1602	122.72	60
6	GWS Giants	22	15	0	7	2010:1741	115.45	60
7	Fremantle Dockers	22	15	0	7	1866:1718	108.61	60
8	Western Bulldogs	22	14	0	8	2396:1708	140.28	56
9	Gold Coast Suns	21	14	0	7	1953:1611	121.23	56
10	Sydney Swans	22	11	0	11	1727:1851	93.30	44
11	St Kilda Saints	22	9	0	13	1746:1973	88.49	36
12	Carlton Blues	22	8	0	14	1709:1805	94.68	32
13	Port Adelaide Power	22	8	0	14	1634:2069	78.98	32
14	Melbourne Demons	22	7	0	15	1826:1956	93.35	28
15	Essendon Bombers	21	6	0	15	1421:1966	72.28	24
16	North Melbourne	22	5	1	16	1705:2252	75.71	22
17	Richmond Tigers	22	5	0	17	1385:2094	66.14	20
18	West Coast Eagles	22	1	0	21	1415:2320	60.99	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
New-zealand	Sky Sport 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 2