Portland Timbers vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Cincinnati
Result
2:3
16/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.53
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
5031
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Long passes
58% (30/52)28% (15/54)
Passes in final third
75% (122/162)58% (54/93)
Crosses
26% (8/31)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.831.22
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
1844
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.531.32
Goals prevented
-1.47-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Bucha P. (A),
  • 12', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Bucha P. , Evander (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Evander , Miazga M. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 3, Kelsy K. , Lassiter A. (A),
  • 45+3', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 59', Echenique E. , Mboma K. ,
  • 59', Denkey K. , Kamara K. ,
  • 60', Paredes C. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Kelsy K. (Pen),
  • 78', Robinson M. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 83', Lassiter A. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 83', Miller K. , Zuparic D. ,
  • 85', Ayala D. , Mora F. ,
  • 90+1', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+1', Jimenez S. , Valenzuela G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
35.5%
Draw
28%
Cincinnati
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.5% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 27.1% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Portland Timbers - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.5)
    3.4
    (3.6)
    2.59
    (2.7)
    5.4%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cincinnati is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Moreno S. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Anunga T. (Red Card) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Sergio Santos (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Cincinnati were as follows:
    22.04.2023 Cincinnati - Portland Timbers 2:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10New York City24115834:29538
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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