Derby County vs Watford: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Derby County - Watford
Result
0:2
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 27
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
Derby County - Watford - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.252.25
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1516
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
94
Blocked Shots
36
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
48
Shots inside the Box
1512
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
31
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Free Kicks
1111
Offsides
11
Fouls
1111
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
2623
Touches in the Opposition Box
3935
Passes
80% (297/371)76% (234/307)
Passes in the final third
61% (80/132)62% (48/78)
Crosses
33% (11/33)31% (4/13)
Tackles
75% (18/24)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3238
Interceptions
97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', Abankwah J. 🟨,
  • 4', 0 - 1, Louza I. ,
  • 19', Elder C. 🟨,
  • 31', Ngakia J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Dele-Bashiru T. , Sissoko M. ,
  • 62', Jackson K. , Blackett-Taylor C. ,
  • 63', Ngakia J. , Larouci Y. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Kayembe E. , Sissoko M. (A),
  • 74', Elder C. , Forsyth C. ,
  • 74', Mendez-Laing N. , Brown D. ,
  • 74', Goudmijn K. , Harness M. ,
  • 76', Abankwah J. , Andrews R. ,
  • 78', Baah K. , Ogbonna A. ,
  • 81', Wilson K. , Ward J. ,
  • 90+1', Sierralta F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
42.3%
Draw
28.9%
Watford
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.6% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 27.5% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Derby County - Watford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.45)
    3.29
    (3.42)
    3.3
    (2.8)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Watford?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
    • Derby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Watford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Derby will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Cashin E. (Muscle Injury) Nyambe R. (Knee Injury) Ozoh D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Bachmann D. (Ankle Injury) Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Keben K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Derby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:17 (average 2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Watford were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Watford - Derby County 2:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Watford
    14.01.2025 Cardiff City - Watford 1:1
    09.01.2025 Fulham - Watford 4:1
    04.01.2025 Watford - Sheffield United 1:2
    29.12.2024 Watford - Cardiff City 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)3 : 0, 3 : 0
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Sunderland (4)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Derby County - Watford?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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