São Paulo vs Vitória Salvador: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Vitória Salvador
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
São Paulo - Vitória Salvador - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


São Paulo
62.4%
Draw
24.8%
Vitória Salvador
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 25% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 23.8% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • São Paulo - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.5)
    3.83
    (3.75)
    7.28
    (7.5)
    5.9%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5.
    • São Paulo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that São Paulo will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    25.08.2024 São Paulo - Vitória Salvador 2:1
    05.05.2024 Vitória Salvador - São Paulo 1:3
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ17114231:72437
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1883721:22-127
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Sao Paulo1867520:20025
    9Fluminense1672718:20-223
    10Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    11Ceara1764717:17022
    12Corinthians1857617:21-422
    13Internacional1756618:22-421
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1839616:20-418
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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