Result
2:1
25/08/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 24
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 602 | 398 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 537 | 328 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 94 | 85 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, William Gomes ⚽,
- 26', Matheuzinho ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 30', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽, Lucas Moura (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ricardo ↓, Edu ↑,
- 55', Caio Vinicius ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
- 55', Osvaldo ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Alerrandro (Pen),
- 69', Lucas Moura ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
- 69', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 78', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
- 78', Erick ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 82', Filipe Machado ↓, Janderson ↑,
- 86', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
- 87', Ze Hugo 🟨,
- 90+4', William Gomes ↓, Welington ↑,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
56.1% | Draw
26.6% | Vitória Salvador
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória Salvador's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
São Paulo - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.43) |
3.57 ↓
(4.3) |
5.49 ↓
(7.78) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 26 - 86.7%). Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 74.5% – 98.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 5.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson
(Injury)
Luciano
(Red Card)
Pablo Maia
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Bruno Uvini
(Injury)
Camutanga
(Injury)
Neris
(Red Card)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vitória Salvador?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against São Paulo?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
05.05.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
São Paulo
1:3
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Internacional | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Vitória Salvador?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Peru | L1 Play |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 World | Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz |
