Result
2:2
03/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 18
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 1.72 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
80% (222/279) | 84% (359/426) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 1.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.83 | 1.15 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
80% (222/279) | 84% (359/426) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (28/48) | 59% (33/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (52/78) | 76% (97/128) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (4/23) | 25% (5/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.66 | 0.94 |
Throw-ins |
---|
30 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
74% (14/19) | 50% (7/14) |
Duels won |
---|
66 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.15 | 1.83 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.85 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Caceres R. ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 34', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Ronald Lopes (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', Micael 🟨,
- 64', Allan ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
- 64', Vanderlan ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 64', Luighi ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 65', Thalys ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽,
- 66', Erick 🟨,
- 69', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Piquerez J. (Pen),
- 73', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 73', Ronald Lopes ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 73', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 80', Raphael Veiga ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 80', Osvaldo ↓, Edu ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Lopez J. ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
- 87', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 89', Weverton 🟨,
- 90+2', Lucas Halter 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador 24.3% | Draw 30.6% | Palmeiras 45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4 ↓ (4.74) |
3.13 ↓ (3.38) |
2.09 ↑ (1.82) |
4.9% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Vitória (votes: 4 - 80%).
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(78 of 81 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.19% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
- Vitória has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Palmeiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Vitória: Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Heel Injury)
Neris
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Felipe Anderson
(Hip Injury)
Murilo
(Thigh Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Erick
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs
(Injury)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Palmeiras?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Vitória Salvador?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras were as follows:
27.07.2024
Palmeiras
-
Vitória Salvador
0:2
14.04.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Palmeiras
0:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Usa | Fanatiz |