Vitória Salvador vs Palmeiras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras
Result
2:2
03/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 18
Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.72
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
80% (222/279)84% (359/426)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.15
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
2113
Passes
80% (222/279)84% (359/426)
Long passes
58% (28/48)59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
67% (52/78)76% (97/128)
Crosses
17% (4/23)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.94
Throw-ins
3020
Fouls
1321
Tackles
74% (14/19)50% (7/14)
Duels won
6645
Clearances
3223
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.151.83
Goals prevented
-0.85-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Caceres R. , Claudinho ,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer , Ronald Lopes (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', Micael 🟨,
  • 64', Allan , Piquerez J. ,
  • 64', Vanderlan , Sosa R. ,
  • 64', Luighi , Torres F. ,
  • 65', Thalys , Vitor Roque ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Erick ,
  • 66', Erick 🟨,
  • 69', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Piquerez J. (Pen),
  • 73', Erick , Fabricio ,
  • 73', Ronald Lopes , Ramos R. ,
  • 73', Renato Kayzer , Lopez R. ,
  • 80', Raphael Veiga , Lucas Evangelista ,
  • 80', Osvaldo , Edu ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Lopez J. , Sosa R. (A),
  • 87', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 89', Weverton 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lucas Halter 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
24.3%
Draw
30.6%
Palmeiras
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 28% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 27.5% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (4.74)
    3.13
    (3.38)
    2.09
    (1.82)
    4.9%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Vitória (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (78 of 81 users predict this - 96.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 92.19%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
    • Vitória has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Palmeiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Matheuzinho (Heel Injury) Neris (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Felipe Anderson (Hip Injury) Murilo (Thigh Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Erick (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs (Injury) Figueiredo (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador 0:2
    14.04.2024 Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras 0:1
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    30.07.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:0
    26.07.2025 Palmeiras - Grêmio 1:0
    23.07.2025 Fluminense - Palmeiras 1:2
    16.07.2025 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ17114231:72437
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1883721:22-127
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Sao Paulo1867520:20025
    9Fluminense1672718:20-223
    10Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    11Ceara1764717:17022
    12Corinthians1857617:21-422
    13Internacional1756618:22-421
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1839616:20-418
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    usaUsaFanatiz
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