Vitoria Guimarães vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Vitoria Guimarães - Fiorentina
Result
1:1
19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)
Vitoria Guimarães - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.091.28
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1712
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
26
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
27
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
720
Offsides
02
Fouls
207
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
2228
Touches in the Opposition Box
1928
Passes
82% (323/393)82% (377/461)
Passes in the final third
71% (86/121)72% (85/118)
Crosses
10% (1/10)23% (3/13)
Tackles
70% (23/33)83% (15/18)
Clearances Total
2214
Interceptions
1417

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
  • 42', Gustavo 🟨,
  • 45+1', Tiago Silva 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Richardson A. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
  • 46', Comuzzo P. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
  • 50', Manu 🟨,
  • 57', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
  • 57', Ikone J. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
  • 66', Kouame C. 🟨,
  • 67', Mendes J. ↓, Samu ↑,
  • 75', Borges R. 🟨,
  • 75', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
  • 80', Tiago Silva ↓, Handel T. ↑,
  • 80', Santos N. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽,
  • 89', Palladino R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kaio Cesar ↓, Bica ↑,
  • 90+5', Varela B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
28%		Draw
29.6%		Fiorentina
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 28.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 30.3% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Vitoria Guimarães - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.36 ↑
    (3.01)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.3)    		 2.22 ↓
    (2.39)    		 6.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 3 - 7.3%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 10 - 24.4%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 68.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54.1% – 82.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Guimarães have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Fiorentina have a series of home games.
    • Fiorentina will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems)
    • There are questionable in Guimarães: Borevkovic T. (Injury) Gaspar B. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Pongracic M. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    16.12.2024 Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2 ✺
    12.12.2024 St. Gallen - Vitoria Guimarães 1:4 ✺
    07.12.2024 Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0 ✺
    02.12.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente 4:0 ✺
    28.11.2024 Astana - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    15.12.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    12.12.2024 Fiorentina - LASK Linz 7:0 ✺
    08.12.2024 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:0 ✺
    04.12.2024 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:3 ✺
    28.11.2024 Fiorentina - Paphos 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Dundee UtdBye
    2ByeUNA Strassen
    3LarneAuda
    5KosiceBye
    6UrartuNeman
    7VaduzBye
    8ByeDungannon
    9SilkeborgBye
    10ByeKA Akureyri
    11RosenborgBye
    12ByeBanga
    13Atletic EscaldesDudelange
    14ByeDinamo Tirana
    15Austria ViennaBye
    16ByeSpaeri
    17FC BallkaniBye
    18FlorianaHaverfordwest
    19VikingBye
    20ZeljeznicarKoper
    21AEK Athens FCBye
    23Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan
    24ByeGyor
    25Riga FCBye
    26Racing LuxembourgDila Gori
    27RakowBye
    28ByeZilina
    29BirkirkaraPetrocub
    31Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    32ByeU. Cluj
    33VarazdinBye
    34ByeSanta Clara
    35Kauno ZalgirisPenybont
    36ValurFlora
    38ByeMaribor
    39VllazniaBFC Daugavpils
    40MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik
    41HammarbyBye
    42ByeCharleroi
    43Radnicki 1923Bye
    44SJKKlaksvik
    45Novi PazarBye
    46ByeJagiellonia
    47Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    48Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma
    49La FioritaVardar
    50ByeLausanne
    51HB TorshavnBye
    52ByeBrondby
    53OleksandriyaBye
    55HiberniansBye
    57St. PatricksHegelmann
    58KaljuPartizani
    59AIKBye
    60MagpiesPaide
    61FK SarajevoBye
    62ByeUniv. Craiova
    63ArisBye
    64ByePuskas Academy
    65St JosephsCliftonville
    66ByeShamrock Rovers
    68ByeAZ Alkmaar
    69ZiraBye
    70ByeHajduk Split
    71ArdaBye
    72NSI RunavikHJK
    74ByeSparta Prague
    75Zimbru ChisinauBye
    76ByeFC Astana
    77DecicSileks
    78ByeSK Rapid
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81ArazBye
    82ByeAris
    83OmoniaBye
    84Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy
    85Cherno MoreBye
    86ByeBasaksehir
    87SutjeskaDynamo Brest
    88ByeBeitar Jerusalem

    Quarter-finals
    1Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    2TBD #3Bye
    3KosiceTBD #6
    4VaduzDungannon
    5SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    6RosenborgBanga
    7TBD #13Dinamo Tirana
    8Austria ViennaSpaeri
    9FC BallkaniTBD #18
    10VikingTBD #20
    11AEK Athens FCBye
    12TBD #23Gyor
    13Riga FCTBD #26
    14RakowZilina
    15TBD #29Bye
    16Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    17VarazdinSanta Clara
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19ByeMaribor
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21HammarbyCharleroi
    22Radnicki 1923TBD #44
    23Novi PazarJagiellonia
    24Polissya ZhytomyrTBD #48
    25TBD #49Lausanne
    26HB TorshavnBrondby
    27OleksandriyaBye
    28HiberniansBye
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30AIKTBD #60
    31FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    32ArisPuskas Academy
    33TBD #65Shamrock Rovers
    34ByeAZ Alkmaar
    35ZiraHajduk Split
    36ArdaTBD #72
    37ByeSparta Prague
    38Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    39TBD #77SK Rapid
    40TBD #79Maccabi Haifa
    41ArazAris
    42OmoniaTBD #84
    43Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    44TBD #87Beitar Jerusalem
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