Villarreal vs Sevilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal).

: LaLiga - Round 38
Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	1.32
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
89% (461/518)	90% (436/487)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	1.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.66	2.40
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
2	9
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	12
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
30	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
14	8
Passes
89% (461/518)	90% (436/487)
Long passes
62% (24/39)	64% (29/45)
Passes in final third
70% (86/122)	83% (141/170)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.10	1.20
Throw-ins
9	15
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
40% (4/10)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
45	30
Clearances
17	13
Interceptions
4	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.40	2.66
Goals prevented
0.40	-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Pino Y. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Gueye P. ⚽, Buchanan T. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Sow D. ⚽, Suso (A),
39', 3 - 1, Baena A. ⚽, Costa L. (A),
43', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sow D. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
53', 4 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Barry T. (A),
56', Pino Y. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
57', Baena A. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
63', Carmona J. A. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
63', Pascual A. ↓, Peque ↑,
74', Sanchez J. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
75', Buchanan T. ↓, Etta Eyong ↑,
75', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
81', Suarez D. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
85', 4 - 2, Martinez R. ⚽, Agoume L. (A),
87', Suso ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Villarreal
61.1%

Draw
20.9%

Sevilla
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Villarreal - Sevilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)	4.61 ↑ (4.3)	5.42 ↑ (4.8)	2.5% (3.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Villarreal - Sevilla?

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Villarreal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
Villarreal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.
Villarreal is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Sevilla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Villarreal is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Albiol R. (Injury) Perez A. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Thigh Injury) Bade L. (Red Card) Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury) Romero I. (Red Card) Vargas R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Sevilla: Hormigo D. (Injury) Niguez S. (Leg Injury)
We predict that Villarreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Sevilla?

Villarreal has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Villarreal?

Sevilla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Sevilla were as follows:

23.08.2024 Sevilla - Villarreal 1:2

11.05.2024 Villarreal - Sevilla 3:2

03.12.2023 Sevilla - Villarreal 1:1

23.04.2023 Sevilla - Villarreal 2:1

18.09.2022 Villarreal - Sevilla 1:1

Latest results of Villarreal

18.05.2025 Barcelona - Villarreal 2:3 ✺

14.05.2025 Villarreal - Leganés 3:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Girona - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Villarreal - Osasuna 4:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Villarreal - Espanyol 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sevilla

18.05.2025 Sevilla - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

13.05.2025 Sevilla - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Celta de Vigo - Sevilla 3:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Sevilla - Leganés 2:2 ✺

24.04.2025 Osasuna - Sevilla 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Villarreal - Sevilla?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online