Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal
Result
0:1
22/02/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 25
  • Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)
Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.50
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1010
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Free Kicks
1215
Offsides
00
Fouls
1512
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2329
Touches in the Opposition Box
1715
Passes
82% (339/413)78% (309/396)
Passes in the final third
65% (79/121)63% (54/86)
Crosses
22% (5/23)30% (6/20)
Tackles
75% (6/8)42% (10/24)
Clearances Total
2927
Interceptions
1310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Palazon I. , Embarba A. ,
  • 42', de Frutos J. 🟥,
  • 44', Barry T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Pino Y. 🟨,
  • 62', Gueye P. , Parejo D. ,
  • 62', Pino Y. , Pepe N. ,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Perez A. , Baena A. (A),
  • 73', Nteka R. , Guardiola S. ,
  • 73', Ciss P. , Gumbau G. ,
  • 78', Ratiu A. 🟨,
  • 80', Barry T. , Buchanan T. ,
  • 87', Garcia A. , Eto'o E. ,
  • 87', Diaz P. , Trejo O. ,
  • 90+1', Conde D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Baena A. , Pedraza A. ,
  • 90+5', Parejo D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4k8mvwps

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
33.6%
Draw
29.4%
Villarreal
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 25.6% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 26.4% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.95)
    3.29
    (3.76)
    2.6
    (2.29)
    3.5%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Villarreal will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 16.3%56.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 2.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Moreno G. (Injury) Pedraza A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Lopez U. (Hamstring Injury) Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) de Tomas R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Villarreal: Kiko Femenia (Back Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:38 (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:19 (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 1:1
    28.04.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 3:0
    24.09.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 1:1
    28.05.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 2:1
    30.01.2023 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 0:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0
    31.01.2025 Leganés - Rayo Vallecano 0:1
    26.01.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Girona 2:1
    19.01.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:1
    Latest results of Villarreal
    15.02.2025 Villarreal - Valencia 1:1
    08.02.2025 Las Palmas - Villarreal 1:2
    01.02.2025 Villarreal - Valladolid 5:1
    20.01.2025 Villarreal - Mallorca 4:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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