Villarreal vs Osasuna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal).

: LaLiga - Round 5

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.55	1.80
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
26	6
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
7	0
Passes
88% (444/502)	77% (210/274)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55	1.80
xG on target (xGOT)
3.41	1.75
Total shots
26	6
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
12	3
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
14	6
Shots outside the Box
12	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
41	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
88% (444/502)	77% (210/274)
Long passes
47% (16/34)	47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
78% (151/193)	56% (31/55)
Crosses
29% (9/31)	100% (3/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.23	1.15
Throw-ins
17	11
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
67% (10/15)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
49	54
Clearances
13	50
Interceptions
5	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.75	3.41
Goals prevented
0.75	1.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Rosier V. 🟨,
39', Torro L. 🟨,
40', Rosier V. 🟨,
42', Navarro P. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Budimir A. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Akhomach I. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
46', Cruz J. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
46', Garcia R. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
58', Partey T. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
58', Navarro P. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
67', Moleiro A. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
67', Foyth J. ↓, Veiga R. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
77', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
77', Munoz V. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A),
87', Comesana S. 🟨,
88', Boyomo F. ↓, Barja K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Villarreal
56.5%

Draw
25.4%

Osasuna
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Villarreal - Osasuna Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.56)	3.77 ↓ (4.23)	5.29 ↓ (5.73)	4.5% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Villarreal - Osasuna?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 28 - 84.8%). Osasuna will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 72.6% – 97%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Villarreal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Osasuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Villarreal is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Osasuna: Gomez M. (Muscle Injury) Oroz A. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Villarreal: Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Osasuna?

Villarreal has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Villarreal?

Osasuna has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Osasuna were as follows:

03.05.2025 Villarreal - Osasuna 4:2

24.11.2024 Osasuna - Villarreal 2:2

25.05.2024 Osasuna - Villarreal 1:1

26.11.2023 Villarreal - Osasuna 3:1

19.03.2023 Osasuna - Villarreal 0:3

Latest results of Villarreal

16.09.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Villarreal - Girona 5:0 ✺

15.08.2025 Villarreal - Real Oviedo 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Osasuna

14.09.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 2:0 ✺

04.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Espanyol - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 1:0 ✺

19.08.2025 Real Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	14:3	11	18
2	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	19:4	15	16
3	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	12:5	7	13
4	Espanyol	6	3	2	1	10:9	1	11
5	Elche	6	2	4	0	8:5	3	10
6	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
7	Getafe	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
8	Atl. Madrid	6	2	3	1	9:7	2	9
9	Betis	6	2	3	1	9:7	2	9
10	Alaves	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
11	Valencia	6	2	2	2	8:10	-2	8
12	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	10:10	0	7
13	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	5:5	0	7
14	Rayo Vallecano	6	1	2	3	7:9	-2	5
15	Celta Vigo	6	0	5	1	5:7	-2	5
16	Real Sociedad	6	1	2	3	6:9	-3	5
17	Levante	6	1	1	4	10:13	-3	4
18	R. Oviedo	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3
19	Mallorca	6	0	2	4	5:11	-6	2
20	Girona	6	0	2	4	3:16	-13	2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Villarreal - Osasuna?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Variety 4
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15