Result
1:2
21/04/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 32
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 107 | 73 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 47 | 32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Akhomach I. ⚽, Pedraza A. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Lozano C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Akhomach I. 🟨,
- 59', Coquelin F. 🟨,
- 60', Parejo D. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
- 61', Pedraza A. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 62', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
- 69', Lopy D. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
- 69', Lozano C. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 72', Moreno G. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 72', Mandi A. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
- 73', Viera J. 🟨,
- 76', Viera J. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
- 79', Akhomach I. ↓, Morales J. L. ↑,
- 80', Ramazani L. 🟨,
- 85', Embarba A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 87', Ramazani L. 🟨,
- 88', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Sorloth A. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
Chances of winning
Almería
27.6% | Draw
24.6% | Villarreal
47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Almería - Villarreal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(2.87) |
3.89 ↑
(3.65) |
2.02 ↓
(2.34) |
3.8%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almería - Villarreal?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Villarreal will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 47.7% – 81.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 0.
- Recent matches Almería is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Villarreal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Villarreal will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Villarreal?
Almería has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Almería?
Villarreal has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Villarreal were as follows:
17.09.2023
Villarreal
-
Almería
2:1
04.03.2023
Almería
-
Villarreal
0:2
23.10.2022
Villarreal
-
Almería
2:1
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Villarreal
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 10 |
| 3 | Espanyol | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Getafe | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Alaves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Elche | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Betis | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. Madrid | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Valencia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | R. Oviedo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Levante | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Girona | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Villarreal?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Argentina | DirecTV |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 United-kingdom | Viaplay |
