Almería vs Villarreal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Almería - Villarreal
Result
1:2
21/04/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 32
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)
Almería - Villarreal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.20
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
2411
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
137
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
1711
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
12
Throw-ins
1911
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Fouls
1016
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
34
Attacks
10773
Dangerous Attacks
4732

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Akhomach I. , Pedraza A. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Lozano C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Akhomach I. 🟨,
  • 59', Coquelin F. 🟨,
  • 60', Parejo D. , Guedes G. ,
  • 61', Pedraza A. , Moreno A. ,
  • 62', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
  • 69', Lopy D. , Ramazani L. ,
  • 69', Lozano C. , Pena M. ,
  • 72', Moreno G. , Traore B. ,
  • 72', Mandi A. , Cuenca J. ,
  • 73', Viera J. 🟨,
  • 76', Viera J. , Arribas S. ,
  • 79', Akhomach I. , Morales J. L. ,
  • 80', Ramazani L. 🟨,
  • 85', Embarba A. , Romero L. ,
  • 87', Ramazani L. 🟨,
  • 88', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Sorloth A. , Moreno A. (A),

Chances of winning


Almería
27.6%
Draw
24.6%
Villarreal
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 26.1% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 26% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.
  • Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Almería - Villarreal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (2.87)
    3.89
    (3.65)
    2.02
    (2.34)
    3.8%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Almería - Villarreal?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 0.
    • Recent matches Almería is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Villarreal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Villarreal will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Villarreal were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Villarreal - Almería 2:1
    04.03.2023 Almería - Villarreal 0:2
    23.10.2022 Villarreal - Almería 2:1
    Latest results of Almería
    14.04.2024 Real Sociedad - Almería 2:2
    30.03.2024 Almería - Osasuna 0:3
    17.03.2024 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1
    11.03.2024 Almería - Sevilla 2:2
    01.03.2024 Celta de Vigo - Almería 1:0
    Latest results of Villarreal
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 34254591:335879
    2Real Madrid ✔ 34236569:333675
    3Atl. Madrid341910556:272967
    4Ath Bilbao341613550:262461
    5Villarreal341610860:471358
    6Betis34169952:421057
    7Celta Vigo341371452:52046
    8Rayo Vallecano3411111236:42-644
    9Osasuna3410141042:50-844
    10Mallorca341281431:39-844
    11Real Sociedad341271532:37-543
    12Valencia3410121240:51-1142
    13Getafe341091531:31039
    14Espanyol341091536:44-839
    15Girona341081641:52-1138
    16Sevilla349111437:46-938
    17Alaves348111535:46-1135
    18Las Palmas34881840:56-1632
    19Leganes346131532:51-1931
    20Valladolid ✔ 34442625:83-5816

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Villarreal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
    czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
    franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
    greeceGreeceNova Sports
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
    spainSpainM+ LaLiga
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomViaplay
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