Real Monarchs vs Ventura County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zions Bank Stadium (Herriman, UT).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	0.30
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
85% (353/415)	91% (566/619)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	0.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	0.51
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
20	17
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
85% (353/415)	91% (566/619)
Long passes
48% (22/46)	60% (24/40)
Passes in final third
69% (86/124)	81% (128/159)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.63
Throw-ins
15	16
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
60% (12/20)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
51	41
Clearances
22	19
Interceptions
2	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.51	1.32
Goals prevented
-0.49	-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Barea J. ⚽, Piol A. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Musto T. ⚽,
17', Middleby M. 🟨,
25', Vivi Quesada G. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
29', Silva T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Zambrano M. (Pen),
57', Moisa L. 🟨,
70', Zambrano M. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
75', Sullivan N. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
75', Ramos R. ↓, Preston E. ↑,
88', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Monarchs
48.3%

Draw
26.1%

Ventura County
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

22.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+5%)

Real Monarchs - Ventura County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	8.3% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In recent matches, Real Monarchs has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ventura County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Real Monarchs is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Ventura County?

Real Monarchs has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against Real Monarchs?

Ventura County has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Ventura County were as follows:

01.06.2025 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 4:3

06.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 1:2

06.10.2024 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 2:1

25.08.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 3:1

19.05.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 2:0

Latest results of Real Monarchs

06.09.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 3:0 ✺

27.08.2025 The Town - Real Monarchs 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 3:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Ventura County

06.09.2025 North Texas - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Austin II - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 The Town - Ventura County 4:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Ventura County - Portland Timbers 2 3:2 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	26	16	2	3	5	65:53	55
2	Philadelphia Union II	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Chicago Fire II	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
5	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
6	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
7	Cincinnati 2	26	7	7	0	12	34:39	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
2	Chattanooga	26	12	4	4	6	40:35	48
3	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
4	Atlanta United 2	26	9	2	6	9	43:41	37
5	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	26	13	4	2	7	56:33	49
2	Real Monarchs	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
4	Ventura County	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
6	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
7	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
3	Minnesota 2	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
4	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
5	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
6	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2 ✔	26	16	2	3	5	65:53	55
2	Philadelphia Union II ✔	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II ✔	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Huntsville ✔	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
5	Chattanooga ✔	26	12	4	4	6	40:35	48
6	Chicago Fire II ✔	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
7	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
8	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
9	Atlanta United 2	26	9	2	6	9	43:41	37
10	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
11	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
12	Cincinnati 2	26	7	7	0	12	34:39	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2 ✔	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Town FC ✔	26	13	4	2	7	56:33	49
3	Colorado Rapids 2 ✔	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
4	Real Monarchs ✔	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
6	Minnesota 2 ✔	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
7	Ventura County ✔	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
8	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
9	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
10	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
11	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
12	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
13	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Monarchs - Ventura County?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro