Ventura County vs Real Monarchs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Ventura County - Real Monarchs
Result
4:3 penalties
01/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Ventura County - Real Monarchs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (369/431)81% (349/432)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.27
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2828
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
86% (369/431)81% (349/432)
Long passes
47% (23/49)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
64% (54/84)73% (94/128)
Crosses
28% (5/18)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.52
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1018
Tackles
69% (9/13)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
166
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.271.02
Goals prevented
-1.73-1.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Ramos R. ⚽, Miller H. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Dillon G. ⚽, Marquez O. (A),
  • 13', O'Gara L. 🟨,
  • 17', Charpie W. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 2, Barea J. ⚽,
  • 43', Marquez O. ↓, Sandoval Molina B. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Musto T. ⚽, Muller L. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 3, Charpie W. ⚽,
  • 62', Henry K. ↓, Jennings M. ↑,
  • 67', 3 - 3, Sullivan N. ⚽,
  • 76', Sandoval Molina B. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
  • 78', Sullivan N. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
  • 89', Miller H. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Muller L. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Mesalles R. (Pen),
  • 1, Musto T. (Pen),
  • 2, Hezarkhani A. (Pen),
  • 2, Pepe (Pen),
  • 3, Anderson O. (Pen),
  • 3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 4, O'Gara L. (Pen),
  • 4, Vanney D. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),
  • 5, Ramos R. (Pen),
  • 6, Dillon G. (Pen),
  • 6, Miller H. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ventura County
41.9%		Draw
24.4%		Real Monarchs
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 23.9% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 23.8% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Ventura County - Real Monarchs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.22 ↑
    (2.07)    		 3.81 ↓
    (3.87)    		 2.76 ↓
    (2.93)    		 7.6%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Ventura County - Real Monarchs?
  • Users Predictions: Ventura County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ventura County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Real Monarchs were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 1:2
    06.10.2024 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 2:1
    25.08.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 3:1
    19.05.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 2:0
    Latest results of Ventura County
    18.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 0:2
    13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1
    09.05.2025 Ventura County - Los Angeles II 2:1
    02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    27.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 2:3
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    28.05.2025 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 4:1
    18.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    03.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    23.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 1:2 ✺
    10.04.2025 Real Monarchs - The Town 2:1
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    6New York City II22724941:4529
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2214131324:4417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville211142446:2443
    2Chattanooga22943634:3338
    3Orlando City B227221130:4527
    4Carolina Core22544928:3127
    5Crown Legacy22535933:4426
    6Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    7Inter Miami II216041134:4722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC191122448:2639
    2Ventura County211023643:3837
    3Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Los Angeles FC II217211134:4526
    7Portland Timbers 220623932:3825


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    3Austin FC II21735627:2732
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Huntsville211142446:2443
    3Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    4Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    5New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    6Chattanooga22943634:3338
    7Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    8New York City II22724941:4529
    9Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    10Orlando City B227221130:4527
    11Carolina Core22544928:3127
    12Crown Legacy22535933:4426
    13Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    14Inter Miami II216041134:4722
    15Columbus Crew 2214131324:4417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC191122448:2639
    3Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    4Ventura County211023643:3837
    5Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    6Austin FC II21735627:2732
    7Minnesota 221823834:3431
    8North Texas21831935:4331
    9Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Los Angeles FC II217211134:4526
    13Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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