Minnesota United 2 vs Real Monarchs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs
Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.56
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
79% (305/388)83% (364/440)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.101.35
Total shots
117
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
93
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
79% (305/388)83% (364/440)
Long passes
42% (23/55)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
55% (57/103)68% (64/94)
Crosses
33% (2/6)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.39
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1216
Tackles
85% (17/20)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5941
Clearances
129
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.352.10
Goals prevented
0.350.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Charpie W. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Moisa L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Romanshyn K. , Niang B. ,
  • 51', Grayson C. , Touray O. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Hille L. ,
  • 62', Kiingi K. , Farris J. ,
  • 66', Marquez O. 🟨,
  • 66', Randell A. , Nour M. ,
  • 67', Keller K. , Casillas-Lopez C. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Mesanvi L. ,
  • 72', Mesalles R. , Silva T. ,
  • 72', Calderon G. , Jennings M. ,
  • 84', Anderson O. 🟨,
  • 84', Mesanvi L. , Mawing D. ,
  • 85', Moisa L. , O'Gara L. ,
  • 90+5', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United 2
40.1%
Draw
24.6%
Real Monarchs
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 23.6% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 24.1% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.4)
    3.7
    (3.8)
    2.58
    (2.3)
    9.9%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Real Monarchs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs 3:2
    27.03.2024 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 2:1
    09.07.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs 0:2
    24.03.2023 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 0:3
    Latest results of Minnesota United 2
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II15752136:1433
    3Chicago Fire II16722531:2827
    4New England Revolution II15641425:2127
    5New York City II17623631:3325
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II17604718:2622
    8Columbus Crew 215312916:2913


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga17823427:2431
    2Orlando City B17721726:3026
    3Huntsville15632429:1826
    4Crown Legacy17435527:3023
    5Carolina Core17334721:2419
    6Atlanta United 215325522:2518
    7Inter Miami II175021028:3917


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County17912531:2531
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 217631735:3125
    3Town FC14622431:1924
    4Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    5Real Monarchs14523426:2422
    6Los Angeles FC II16611824:3121
    7Portland Timbers 216512826:3219


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 218813628:2629
    3North Texas17721728:3426
    4Houston Dynamo 217631725:2325
    5Austin FC II16533519:2024
    6Minnesota 215702625:2123
    7Sporting Kansas City II150131110:365


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II15752136:1433
    3Chattanooga17823427:2431
    4Chicago Fire II16722531:2827
    5New England Revolution II15641425:2127
    6Orlando City B17721726:3026
    7Huntsville15632429:1826
    8New York City II17623631:3325
    9Crown Legacy17435527:3023
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II17604718:2622
    12Carolina Core17334721:2419
    13Atlanta United 215325522:2518
    14Inter Miami II175021028:3917
    15Columbus Crew 215312916:2913


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County17912531:2531
    3Colorado Rapids 218813628:2629
    4North Texas17721728:3426
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 217631735:3125
    6Houston Dynamo 217631725:2325
    7Town FC14622431:1924
    8Austin FC II16533519:2024
    9Minnesota 215702625:2123
    10Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    11Real Monarchs14523426:2422
    12Los Angeles FC II16611824:3121
    13Portland Timbers 216512826:3219
    14Sporting Kansas City II150131110:365

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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