Result
19/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
27.9% | Draw
32.7% | Vélez Sársfield
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(3.13) |
2.85 ↑
(2.84) |
2.4 ↓
(2.5) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Vélez Sársfield?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
14.04.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:1
01.12.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
14.07.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
22.08.2022
Vélez Sársfield
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:1
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Belgrano | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Lanus | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 23 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | River Plate | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Instituto | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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