Rosario Central vs Vélez Sársfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.06
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
80% (329/410)62% (138/221)
Yellow Cards
56
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.12
Total shots
84
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
31
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
177
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
166
Passes
80% (329/410)62% (138/221)
Long passes
60% (27/45)13% (6/47)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)44% (28/63)
Crosses
23% (6/26)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.19
Fouls
616
Tackles
67% (18/27)58% (21/36)
Duels won
6763
Clearances Total
4145
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.121.78
Goals prevented
0.12-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Braian Romero ,
  • 19', Quiros A. 🟨,
  • 24', Ibarra F. 🟨,
  • 39', Vazquez K. A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Coronel E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Porcel M. , Bouzat A. ,
  • 49', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 53', Quiros A. 🟨,
  • 56', Pizzini F. , Gomez E. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Sandez A. , Lovera M. (A),
  • 58', Giaccone L. , Duarte G. ,
  • 59', Ibarra F. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 61', Santos M. , Baeza C. ,
  • 63', O'Connor T. 🟨,
  • 63', Gomez V. 🟨,
  • 70', Lovera M. , Segovia S. ,
  • 77', Braian Romero , Carrizo M. ,
  • 77', Lagos A. , Mammana E. ,
  • 87', Coronel E. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 87', Lopez S. , Cantizano G. ,
  • 90', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. , Segovia S. (A),
  • 90+3', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Navarro F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
43.2%
Draw
31.9%
Vélez Sársfield
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 30.4% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 30.1% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central's form might have worsened.
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.9)
    2.99
    (3.1)
    3.76
    (4.74)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

  • Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Vélez will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Vélez (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Rosario (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rosario won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Vélez have a series of home games.
    • In this match Rosario is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J. (Yellow Cards) Gimenez J. (Inactive) Mallo Blanco F. (Muscle Injury) Modica A. (Knee Injury) Quintana C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Injury) Pernicone P. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14:24 (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 3:0
    05.03.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 1:0
    19.10.2023 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    15.05.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 0:0
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    2Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    3Belgrano31113:124
    4Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    5Banfield21102:114
    6Newells Old Boys31113:304
    7Tigre31113:304
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Aldosivi30210:2-22
    14Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Rosario Central31202:115
    3Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    8Dep. Riestra21013:303
    9Lanus31022:203
    10Instituto21011:4-33
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    13Independiente20113:4-11
    14Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    15Platense20111:3-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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