Result
4:1
04/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
Advertisement
Watch and bet River Plate - Vélez Sársfield live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (438/534) | 76% (285/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (438/534) | 76% (285/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (37/69) | 27% (12/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (77/105) | 57% (50/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 45% (15/33) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Driussi S. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Colidio F. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 30', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
- 32', Silvero T. 🟨,
- 33', 3 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Mastantuono F. (A),
- 37', 3 - 1, Carrizo M. ⚽, Bouzat A. (A),
- 43', Vazquez K. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Vazquez K. A. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 59', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
- 61', Perez E. ↓, Castano K. ↑,
- 61', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Meza M. ↑,
- 61', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
- 69', Carrizo M. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 69', Pellegrini M. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
- 70', Mastantuono F. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 70', Colidio F. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
- 78', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 84', Braian Romero ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 90+1', Castano K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gomez V. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gomez V. 🟨,
- 90+10', 4 - 1, Miguel Borja (Pen),
Chances of winning
River Plate
58.3% | Draw
25% | Vélez Sársfield
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate's form might have worsened.Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
River Plate - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.35) |
3.8 ↓
(4.57) |
5.67 ↓
(9.33) |
5.4%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for River Plate - Vélez Sársfield?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- River Plate is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1.
- River Plate is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vélez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, River Plate is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S.
(Injury)
Diaz P.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez M.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Mammana E.
(Hand Injury)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
Porcel M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Vélez Sársfield?
River Plate has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against River Plate?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
18.10.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
04.02.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
5:0
02.09.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
2:0
29.05.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
2:2
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Draw
Apertura - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | Instituto | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | Tigre | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | River Plate | Barracas Central | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Racing Club | Platense | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | Estudiantes L.P. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Huracan | Dep. Riestra | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | Lanus | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Independiente | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | San Lorenzo | |
| 2 | River Plate | Platense | |
| 3 | Rosario Central | Huracan | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | Independiente | |
Semi-finalsFinal
Which TV channels are streaming of River Plate - Vélez Sársfield?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Sport Italia, Sportitalia Plus |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
