Vélez Sársfield vs Newells Old Boys: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys
Result
1:0
21/05/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 2
  • Referee: Rapallini F. (Arg)
Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.94
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
59
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
15
Free Kicks
1917
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
15
Throw-ins
2431
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Fouls
1716
Yellow Cards
55
Total Passes
301253
Completed Passes
238208
Attacks
10584
Dangerous Attacks
3834
Clearances Completed
1614

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Fernandez D. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Braian Romero , Pizzini F. (A),
  • 29', Gomez V. 🟨,
  • 36', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tirado F. , Aguirre B. ,
  • 52', Martino A. 🟨,
  • 57', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 66', Fernandez T. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 68', Cacciabue J. 🟨,
  • 72', Cacciabue J. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 78', Gomez E. , Cavanagh T. ,
  • 78', Braian Romero , Sarco A. ,
  • 79', Martino A. , Calderara B. ,
  • 79', Banega E. , Miljevic M. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 84', Gonzalez F. , May G. ,
  • 85', Calderara B. 🟨,
  • 87', Bouzat A. , Mendez J. ,
  • 90+5', Fernandez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
42.3%
Draw
31.9%
Newells Old Boys
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 27.9% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 27% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.
  • Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newells Old Boys's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (1.8)
    2.96
    (3.35)
    3.66
    (4.65)
    5.9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 68%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.7%86.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Vélez have a series of guest games.
    • Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Centurion R. (Injury) Gordillo Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Chiaverano G. (Injury) Mosquera J. (Suspended)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Vélez won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    03.02.2023 Newells Old Boys - Vélez Sársfield 1:0
    03.09.2022 Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys 0:1
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P64028:6212
    2Barracas Central63219:7211
    3Central Cordoba62408:4410
    4Huracan63125:6-110
    5Boca Juniors62317:349
    6Union de Santa Fe62317:349
    7Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    8Argentinos Jrs62226:428
    9Tigre62226:608
    10Belgrano62225:508
    11Banfield62137:10-37
    12Newells Old Boys61325:6-16
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club61144:9-54
    15Aldosivi60331:6-53


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633012:4812
    2Velez Sarsfield63216:3311
    3San Lorenzo63215:3211
    4Dep. Riestra63128:5310
    5Lanus63126:4210
    6Rosario Central62404:2210
    7Atl. Tucuman62318:539
    8San Martin S.J62225:508
    9Gimnasia L.P62134:5-17
    10Platense51314:5-16
    11Sarmiento Junin61325:9-46
    12Talleres Cordoba61233:7-45
    13Instituto61232:10-85
    14Godoy Cruz60334:9-53
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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