Vélez Sársfield vs Gimnasia La Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata
Result
1:0
28/04/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.53
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
74% (286/389)75% (350/464)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.05
Total shots
714
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
74% (286/389)75% (350/464)
Long passes
42% (28/67)44% (32/73)
Passes in final third
63% (63/100)61% (66/108)
Crosses
10% (1/10)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.240.36
Throw-ins
2227
Fouls
1117
Tackles
70% (19/27)69% (25/36)
Duels won
7876
Clearances
3418
Interceptions
2514
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.050.14
Goals prevented
0.05-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Castro L. 🟨,
  • 33', Castillo R. 🟨,
  • 33', Lagos A. 🟨,
  • 34', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
  • 35', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Montoro A. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 58', Suso G. 🟨,
  • 61', Lagos A. , Gordon J. ,
  • 63', De Blasis P. 🟨,
  • 69', Gordon J. 🟨,
  • 71', Merlini B. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Corbalan F. , Briasco N. ,
  • 74', Baeza C. , Vazquez K. A. ,
  • 74', Carrizo M. , Machuca I. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ,
  • 83', Silva Torrejon P. , Mammini I. ,
  • 89', Gordon J. 🟨,
  • 90', Castro L. , de Asis J. ,
  • 90', Bouzat A. , Silvero T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
37%
Draw
40.7%
Gimnasia La Plata
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 29.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 29.3% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.08)
    2.42
    (3.18)
    4.32
    (3.85)
    3.5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 0.75
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Vélez Sársfield will win! (12 of 13 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.
    • Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gimnasia La Plata is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Vélez have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Vélez is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez M. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Mammana E. (Inactive) Monzon F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Sosa A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Inactive)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Vélez won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:24 (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    13.05.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 3:1
    09.02.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    13.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    30.01.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentinos Jrs1696124:91533
    2Boca Juniors16103324:111333
    3Racing Club1691626:161028
    4Huracan1676319:12727
    5Tigre1683518:12627
    6Ind. Rivadavia1676320:17327
    7Barracas Central1675420:18226
    8Estudiantes L.P1656518:19-121
    9Newells Old Boys1654712:15-319
    10Defensa y Justicia1654718:22-419
    11Central Cordoba1653821:22-118
    12Belgrano1638513:23-1017
    13Aldosivi1643918:28-1015
    14Banfield1635814:19-514
    15Union de Santa Fe1635811:17-614


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central16105122:81435
    2River Plate1687121:91231
    3Independiente1685323:121129
    4San Lorenzo1676314:10427
    5Dep. Riestra1659213:7624
    6Platense1665513:11223
    7Lanus1648413:11220
    8Instituto1653816:20-418
    9Godoy Cruz163858:18-1017
    10Atl. Tucuman16511017:21-416
    11Gimnasia L.P164489:18-916
    12Sarmiento Junin1629511:19-815
    13Velez Sarsfield1642107:22-1514
    14Talleres Cordoba1627711:15-413
    15San Martin S.J1623115:18-139

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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