Vasco da Gama vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Santos
Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 1
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Vasco da Gama - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.85
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
86% (404/471)85% (347/406)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.33
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1824
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
86% (404/471)85% (347/406)
Long passes
63% (30/48)60% (29/48)
Passes in final third
82% (126/154)77% (78/101)
Crosses
33% (5/15)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.82
Fouls
1112
Tackles
75% (15/20)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5851
Clearances Total
3315
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.332.04
Goals prevented
-0.670.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Barreal A. , Tiquinho Soares (A),
  • 33', Lucas Piton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Moreira N. , Vegetti P. (A),
  • 68', Coutinho , Payet D. ,
  • 68', Garre B. , Adson ,
  • 68', Paulinho Paula , Tche Tche ,
  • 68', Tiquinho Soares , Deivid Washington ,
  • 69', Barreal A. , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 77', Moreira N. , Augusto L. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Vegetti P. , Payet D. (A),
  • 81', Hugo Moura , Jair ,
  • 83', Joao Schmidt , Diego Pituca ,
  • 83', Gabriel Bontempo , Thaciano ,
  • 87', Rollheiser B. , Luca Meirelles ,
  • 90+6', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
40.2%
Draw
30.7%
Santos
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 30.4% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 31% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.49)
    3.1
    (3.11)
    3.24
    (2.99)
    5.2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Santos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 1.
    • Recent matches Vasco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Santos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Injury) Souza (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Santos: Neymar (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Vasco won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:30 (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Santos were as follows:
    01.10.2023 Santos - Vasco da Gama 4:1
    14.05.2023 Vasco da Gama - Santos 0:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Santos
    09.03.2025 Corinthians - Santos 2:1
    19.02.2025 Santos - EC Noroeste 3:0
    16.02.2025 Santos - Água Santa 3:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

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