Santos vs Vasco da Gama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Santos - Vasco da Gama
Result
0:6
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 20
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Santos - Vasco da Gama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.99
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
81% (277/343)89% (450/504)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.074.03
Total shots
714
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
81% (277/343)89% (450/504)
Long passes
31% (11/36)50% (13/26)
Passes in final third
67% (68/101)77% (75/97)
Crosses
18% (2/11)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.46
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1112
Tackles
69% (9/13)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3336
Clearances
1212
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
4.030.07
Goals prevented
-1.970.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', Hugo Moura 🟨,
  • 15', Luisao 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Lucas Piton , Moreira N. (A),
  • 38', Jair 🟨,
  • 39', Neymar 🟨,
  • 41', Tche Tche 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 52', 0 - 2, David , Lucas Piton (A),
  • 54', 0 - 3, Coutinho , Moreira N. (A),
  • 60', 0 - 4, Rayan (Pen),
  • 61', Rayan 🟨,
  • 62', 0 - 5, Coutinho , David (A),
  • 66', Barreal A. , Caballero G. ,
  • 66', Gabriel Bontempo , Rincon T. ,
  • 66', Souza , Escobar G. ,
  • 68', 0 - 6, Tche Tche , David (A),
  • 71', Ze Rafael , Rollheiser B. ,
  • 71', Tiquinho Soares , Luca Meirelles ,
  • 75', Hugo Moura , Lucas Oliveira ,
  • 75', Jair , Thiago Mendes ,
  • 75', Moreira N. , GB ,
  • 80', David , Leo Jaco ,
  • 83', Rayan , Rodriguez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
49.3%
Draw
27.1%
Vasco da Gama
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.4% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 28.9% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Santos - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.2)
    3.49
    (3.2)
    3.98
    (3.4)
    5.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Vasco da Gama?
  • Users Predictions: Santos will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Santos is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Santos: Arao W. (Muscle Injury) Joao Basso (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) GB (Muscle Injury) Vegetti P. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Santos 2:1
    01.10.2023 Santos - Vasco da Gama 4:1
    14.05.2023 Vasco da Gama - Santos 0:1
    Latest results of Santos
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    04.08.2025 Santos - Juventude 3:1
    26.07.2025 Sport Recife - Santos 2:2
    23.07.2025 Santos - Internacional RS 1:2
    19.07.2025 Mirassol - Santos 3:0
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras20134328:161243
    4Bahia20106428:22636
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol2098335:201535
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Internacional2176825:29-427
    11Ceara2175919:20-126
    12Corinthians2268823:28-526
    13Gremio2167820:26-625
    14Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    15Vasco21641130:31-122
    16Santos21641120:31-1122
    17Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    18Juventude21631219:41-2221
    19Fortaleza21361220:34-1415
    20Sport Recife20171214:33-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Santos - Vasco da Gama?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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