Vålerenga vs Fredrikstad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Vålerenga - Fredrikstad
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 12
  • Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
Vålerenga - Fredrikstad - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.43
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (390/483)75% (276/370)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.181.00
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2431
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
156
Passes
81% (390/483)75% (276/370)
Long passes
52% (41/79)35% (23/66)
Passes in final third
79% (138/174)60% (85/141)
Crosses
28% (5/18)35% (9/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.46
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
615
Tackles
78% (14/18)80% (20/25)
Duels won
5959
Clearances
3432
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.001.18
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Shein R. R. ,
  • 26', Owusu L. 🟨,
  • 39', Eid D. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Strand P. , Thorvaldsen F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Owusu L. , Metcalfe P. ,
  • 46', Skogvold H. , Sorlokk S. ,
  • 62', Ambina F. , Bjordal H. ,
  • 70', Rijks M. , Brajanac M. ,
  • 70', Sjatil H. , Riisnaes M. ,
  • 75', Hagen A. 🟨,
  • 81', Ohlenschlaeger O. , Bjartalid J. ,
  • 85', Thorvaldsen F. , Sorensen E. ,

Chances of winning


Vålerenga
45.6%
Draw
27%
Fredrikstad
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 28.6% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Vålerenga - Fredrikstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.21)
    3.49
    (3.39)
    3.42
    (3.37)
    5.8%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Fredrikstad?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 1.
    • Vålerenga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fredrikstad has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vålerenga will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knock)
    • There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vålerenga: Sjovold S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Bjartalid J. (Knock) Hanstad J. (Inactive) Kvile S. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Fredrikstad - Vålerenga 2:0
    06.10.2024 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 0:1
    16.02.2024 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:3
    10.03.2023 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:0
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    29.06.2025 Strømsgodset - Vålerenga 0:2
    22.06.2025 Vålerenga - Molde 2:3
    31.05.2025 Tromsø - Vålerenga 2:1
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    29.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:1
    01.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 1:1
    28.05.2025 Fredrikstad - Rosenborg 0:2
    24.05.2025 Bryne - Fredrikstad 4:3
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bodo/Glimt20143351:183345
    2Viking20143349:272245
    3Brann19114435:28737
    4Tromso20113632:27536
    5Valerenga2093834:32230
    6Rosenborg1986525:23230
    7Sandefjord1991936:28828
    8KFUM Oslo2076731:24727
    9Fredrikstad1976625:22327
    10Molde2083928:26227
    11Sarpsborg 082067731:30125
    12Kristiansund2066823:35-1224
    13HamKam2056922:34-1221
    14Bryne20551025:35-1020
    15Stromsgodset20411526:45-1913
    16Haugesund20131612:51-396

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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