Vålerenga vs Fredrikstad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Vålerenga - Fredrikstad
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 12
  • Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)
Vålerenga - Fredrikstad - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.43
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (390/483)75% (276/370)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.181.00
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2431
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
156
Passes
81% (390/483)75% (276/370)
Long passes
52% (41/79)35% (23/66)
Passes in final third
79% (138/174)60% (85/141)
Crosses
28% (5/18)35% (9/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.46
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
615
Tackles
78% (14/18)80% (20/25)
Duels won
5959
Clearances
3432
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.001.18
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Shein R. R. ,
  • 26', Owusu L. 🟨,
  • 39', Eid D. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Strand P. , Thorvaldsen F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Owusu L. , Metcalfe P. ,
  • 46', Skogvold H. , Sorlokk S. ,
  • 62', Ambina F. , Bjordal H. ,
  • 70', Rijks M. , Brajanac M. ,
  • 70', Sjatil H. , Riisnaes M. ,
  • 75', Hagen A. 🟨,
  • 81', Ohlenschlaeger O. , Bjartalid J. ,
  • 85', Thorvaldsen F. , Sorensen E. ,

Chances of winning


Vålerenga
45.6%
Draw
27%
Fredrikstad
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 28.6% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Vålerenga - Fredrikstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.21)
    3.49
    (3.39)
    3.42
    (3.37)
    5.8%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Fredrikstad?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 1.
    • Vålerenga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fredrikstad has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vålerenga will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knock)
    • There will not play in Fredrikstad: Faraas B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vålerenga: Sjovold S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Bjartalid J. (Knock) Hanstad J. (Inactive) Kvile S. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Fredrikstad - Vålerenga 2:0
    06.10.2024 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 0:1
    16.02.2024 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:3
    10.03.2023 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:0
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    29.06.2025 Strømsgodset - Vålerenga 0:2
    22.06.2025 Vålerenga - Molde 2:3
    31.05.2025 Tromsø - Vålerenga 2:1
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    29.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Tromsø 0:1
    01.06.2025 Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 1:1
    28.05.2025 Fredrikstad - Rosenborg 0:2
    24.05.2025 Bryne - Fredrikstad 4:3
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bodo/Glimt22154359:203949
    2Viking21144351:292246
    3Brann21134441:301143
    4Tromso22133635:27842
    5Rosenborg2197529:24534
    6Fredrikstad2187628:24431
    7Valerenga2294937:36131
    8KFUM Oslo2278734:27729
    9Sandefjord21911137:33428
    10Sarpsborg 082277834:33128
    11Molde21831029:28127
    12Kristiansund2276926:42-1627
    13Bryne22561126:38-1221
    14HamKam22561123:37-1421
    15Stromsgodset22611530:47-1719
    16Haugesund22131812:56-446

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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