Result
2:0
09/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eliteserien - Round 17
- Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (275/342) | 81% (341/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (275/342) | 81% (341/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (76/121) | 79% (87/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 14% (4/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.58 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Fall F. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Fall F. ⚽, Eid D. (A),
- 43', Bjordal H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 57', Brajanac M. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 57', Vinicius Nogueira ↓, Pallas N. ↑,
- 59', Rijks M. 🟨,
- 65', Skogvold H. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 72', Woledzi M. 🟨,
- 74', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Holten E. (Pen),
- 87', Holten E. ↓, Faraas B. ↑,
- 87', Molde S. ↓, Rafn S. ↑,
- 87', Sjatil H. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
- 90+4', Riisnaes M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fredrikstad
40.7% | Draw
29.3% | Vålerenga
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vålerenga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fredrikstad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vålerenga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fredrikstad - Vålerenga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.4) |
3.25 ↑
(3.1) |
3.18 ↑
(2.5) |
5.2%
(13.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Vålerenga?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 3.
- Recent matches Fredrikstad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Vålerenga is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Fredrikstad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fredrikstad have a series of home games.
- Fredrikstad will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Bjartalid J.
(Inactive)
Kvile S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Borchgrevink C.
(Knee Injury)
Bully O.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Okpaleke K.
(Inactive)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Vålerenga?
Fredrikstad has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Fredrikstad?
Vålerenga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Vålerenga were as follows:
06.10.2024
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
16.02.2024
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
1:3
10.03.2023
Vålerenga
-
Fredrikstad
1:0
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Latest results of Vålerenga
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 34:16 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Brann | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:17 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Rosenborg | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Fredrikstad | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Tromso | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | Bryne | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Molde | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | HamKam | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Stromsgodset | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14:18 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | KFUM Oslo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:27 | -23 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
Which TV channels are streaming of Fredrikstad - Vålerenga?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
